posted by queencitybuckeyeThe mask usage where the spread is happening is not 95%, not 9%. It's private get-togethers, mask usage effectively 0%.
Good God, it doesn’t spread at such anecdotal or even fictional places unless someone got it from outside that meeting where most are wearing masks.
posted by Al Bundy
I have provided you with a graph of Covid, as well as definitions of exponential growth and logarithmic growth. Stevie Wonder could see that this wave is growing exponentially.
Please show me which of the cases per day or the deaths per day from this real source/website you believe to be exponential?
Look up normal distribution and merge a normal distribution for each wave and you have an approximate model.
What graph is that you provided, from one small town?
I made a mistake earlier.
I meant the daily counts were waves of normal distributions while the totals were LOGISTIC growths, not logarithmic growths.
Been a few years since I taught the calculus models for microbiology population growths. It is logistic not logarithmic.
posted by jmogPlease show me which of the cases per day or the deaths per day from this real source/website you believe to be exponential?
Look up normal distribution and merge a normal distribution for each wave and you have an approximate model.
What graph is that you provided, from one small town?
I showed you the daily ohio numbers graph. It may turn logistic in 2021 (hopefully it does, or better yet decreases ), but it has been exponential growth in 2020.
If it were currently a logistic graph, we would be approaching a horizontal asymptote which would be our limit.
posted by jmogI made a mistake earlier.
I meant the daily counts were waves of normal distributions while the totals were LOGISTIC growths, not logarithmic growths.
Been a few years since I taught the calculus models for microbiology population growths. It is logistic not logarithmic.
jmog, the article below explains how people who do not understand exponential growth tend to not understand the importance of masks. It also explains how many people confused the growth for logistic. The article could be describing you.
The humble bragging here is growing exponentially AND logistically AND obnoxiously.
posted by jmogGood God, it doesn’t spread at such anecdotal or even fictional places unless someone got it from outside that meeting where most are wearing masks.
Do you really not understand the basic logical flaw in your argument?
posted by Al BundyI showed you the daily ohio numbers graph. It may turn logistic in 2021 (hopefully it does, or better yet decreases ), but it has been exponential growth in 2020.
If it were currently a logistic graph, we would be approaching a horizontal asymptote which would be our limit.
It doesn’t change from one to the other, it is either one or the other now. It is a logistic growth, as is every single total case graph pretty much ever for any infectious disease.
posted by Al Bundyjmog, the article below explains how people who do not understand exponential growth tend to not understand the importance of masks. It also explains how many people confused the growth for logistic. The article could be describing you.
Read the whole article, I don’t even want to comment how wrong it is as it will truly come across as bragging.
They are right that untrained people don’t understand exponential growth.
They are wrong that people in fields like mathematics, engineering, etc who are highly trained in math don’t understand exponential growth.
posted by jmogIt doesn’t change from one to the other, it is either one or the other now. It is a logistic growth, as is every single total case graph pretty much ever for any infectious disease.
A logistic model would level off and approach a limit. If the vaccine (or herd immunity) is effective. That is not what will happen here. The numbers will decrease and hopefully get to 0 or close to it.
Another way that you could look at the numbers for this year would be the following. A logistic equation is concave down (think second derivative test), but our graph for this year is concave up.
Thank goodness that school doesn't let you teach calculus anymore.
posted by Al BundyA logistic model would level off and approach a limit. If the vaccine (or herd immunity) is effective. That is not what will happen here. The numbers will decrease and hopefully get to 0 or close to it.
Another way that you could look at the numbers for this year would be the following. A logistic equation is concave down (think second derivative test), but our graph for this year is concave up.
Thank goodness that school doesn't let you teach calculus anymore.
Maybe you didn’t read my post?
I said cases per day and deaths per day would be hybrid normal distribution models, which do end up at zero.
I said total cases and total deaths would end up at an asymptote, or “level off”.
Learn to read before you criticize someone else’s math knowledge and prove yourself wrong.
posted by jmogMaybe you didn’t read my post?
I said cases per day and deaths per day would be hybrid normal distribution models, which do end up at zero.
I said total cases and total deaths would end up at an asymptote, or “level off”.
Learn to read before you criticize someone else’s math knowledge and prove yourself wrong.
You've been all over the place, and you have been wrong every time.
Do you know what a normal distribution is (think symmetric bell shaped curve)? That has not been the graph in Ohio. Ohio has been exponential. If we were normal, we would be back to the low numbers of the beginning. Other states have had different graphs. New York state has been parabolic. Do you know what a parabola is?
posted by jmogMaybe you didn’t read my post?
I said cases per day and deaths per day would be hybrid normal distribution models, which do end up at zero.
I said total cases and total deaths would end up at an asymptote, or “level off”.
Learn to read before you criticize someone else’s math knowledge and prove yourself wrong.
You've been all over the place, and you have been wrong every time.
Do you know what a normal distribution is (think symmetric bell shaped curve)? That has not been the graph in Ohio. Ohio has been exponential. If we were normal, we would be back to the low numbers of the beginning. Other states have had different graphs. New York state has been parabolic. Do you know what a parabola is?
posted by Al BundyYou've been all over the place, and you have been wrong every time.
Do you know what a normal distribution is (think symmetric bell shaped curve)? That has not been the graph in Ohio. Ohio has been exponential. If we were normal, we would be back to the low numbers of the beginning. Other states have had different graphs. New York state has been parabolic. Do you know what a parabola is?
I am now convinced you are just trolling as you aren’t reading and are just arguing to argue.
Have a good day, I am done.
You took his ass out! Congrats Al! 👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻
posted by AutomatikYou took his ass out! Congrats Al! 👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻
Or refusing to respond to an obvious troll that refuses to read.
posted by jmogOr refusing to respond to an obvious troll that refuses to read.
Enter the data and run a regression equation. I'll bet you a beer that it doesn't come back as a function that is a normal distribution equation.
posted by Al BundyEnter the data and run a regression equation. I'll bet you a beer that it doesn't come back as a function that is a normal distribution equation.
There's going to be some serious serial autocorrelation.
I wish I wasn’t a gym teacher so I could follow along. I need smaller words at a lower level to play.
The most braggadocios thread I've ever read on OC.
posted by Dr Winston O'BoogieThe most braggadocios thread I've ever read on OC.
I got a 31 on my ACT but it was the summer after my 8th grade year and I didn’t really try.....I enjoyed that thread from about 8 years ago
posted by Ironman92I got a 31 on my ACT but it was the summer after my 8th grade year and I didn’t really try.....I enjoyed that thread from about 8 years ago
Missed that one - fortunately. Insufferable.
https://www.yahoo.com/huffpost/rudy-giuliani-tests-positive-for-covid-19-202828157.html
Left trying to slow him down?
