posted by ptown_trojans_1
True, but in modern times, the party that controls both branches, has lost at least one House, either House or Senate. Reagan 82, Clinton 94, Bush 06, Obama 2010.
I guess the point is, the American public does not like to see one party hold all the power. It usually swings back.
Perhaps a lot of the R's see those polling numbers and say time to cash out.
Normally I would agree, but here's the reality of 2018 elections.
The HOR there is currently a 55 seat majority. There are reallistically about 48 seats "up for grabs" (lean D, lean R, and close to call). 9 of those lean D, 20 lean R, and 19 are close.
31 of those 48 would have to go D to flip the HoR. The Ds would have to win all of their "leans", win all of the "toss ups", and steal a couple Rs. I don't see that happening even though I see the Rs losing some seats.
I would possibly expect the Senate to flip being that it is currently 51/49. However, the Ds have 26 seats up for grabs and the Rs only 8 seats up for grabs. 17 of the 26 Ds are safely D, 6 of the 8 Rs are safely R. So with only toss ups left the Rs hold a 49/40 lead. The Ds would have to win all 11 toss ups to take over the Senate.
I think the Rs lose seats in the HoR but retain control, but gain a seat or 2 in the Senate ONLY due to what breakdown of seats are up for vote in the Senate.