2018 Midterm predictions

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Spock

Senior Member

Sun, Nov 4, 2018 7:01 PM

The coverage on this is going to be epic.  If Pubs hold everything, the media will melt down.  If pubs lose, Trump will tweet some epic stuff.

If dems win, I bet the caravan will be 50,000.  If pubs win it will likely stop and turn around.

If pubs hold the stock market willl soar and the riots will be epic., if Dems win, get ready to take a hit. 

My gut tells me that the Pubs hold both.  But likely they lose the senate and actually gain 3 to 4 seats in senate.

like_that

1st Team All-PWN

Sun, Nov 4, 2018 7:30 PM

I think GOP gains senate seats and loses the house.  The house could be closer than people think though. 

gut

Senior Member

Sun, Nov 4, 2018 7:33 PM
posted by Spock

If dems win, I bet the caravan will be 50,000.  If pubs win it will likely stop and turn around.

You are the quintessential "useful idiot".  Regardless of election results, the "caravan" will cease to be a story, anywhere, immediately after the election.

gut

Senior Member

Sun, Nov 4, 2018 7:35 PM
posted by like_that

I think GOP gains senate seats and loses the house.  The house could be closer than people think though. 

Wow...Bold opinion to echo what almost everyone has been saying for the past two years.

I think the GOP gains a few seats in the Senate, and narrowly keeps the House.

iclfan2

Reppin' the 330/216/843

Sun, Nov 4, 2018 7:39 PM

I think the pubs hold the senate but lose the house. Don’t think it will be the “blue wave” that was being touted months ago tho.

like_that

1st Team All-PWN

Sun, Nov 4, 2018 7:41 PM
posted by gut

Wow...Bold opinion to echo what almost everyone has been saying for the past two years.

I think the GOP gains a few seats in the Senate, and narrowly keeps the House.

I wasn't even close to going out on a limb there and didn't come close to making it seem that way. Did you want me to add a footnote that I am going with the safest bet? I was answering the question to this thread.   You drunj? 

Also, "everyone" has not been making this prediction.  There has been a talk of a blue wave since mid 2017. 

Spock

Senior Member

Sun, Nov 4, 2018 7:58 PM

Losing the house talking point is easy to make because incumbent parties have only maintained their position twice in 50 years.  This year might be 3

gut

Senior Member

Sun, Nov 4, 2018 8:01 PM
posted by like_that

, Also, "everyone" has not been making this prediction.  There has been a talk of a blue wave since mid 2017. 

Good point.  Fair enough - although the "blue wave" kind of evaporated a few months ago across sources.

gut

Senior Member

Sun, Nov 4, 2018 8:02 PM
posted by Spock

Losing the house talking point is easy to make because incumbent parties have only maintained their position twice in 50 years.  This year might be 3

LOL.....mmmmmkay.......Doesn't sound like "#winning" to me.

justincredible

Honorable Admin

Mon, Nov 5, 2018 8:51 AM

Keep senate, lose house.

I'm just happy that our mailbox will cease being a trash can after today.

SportsAndLady

Senior Member

Mon, Nov 5, 2018 9:26 AM

I think it’ll be a good day for the dem’s. Just a hunch. 

ptown_trojans_1

Moderator

Mon, Nov 5, 2018 9:44 AM

Ds take the House, winning an additional 30 seats.  Rs hold on to the Senate as all the races are a wash. Ds hold on to all seats, except North Dakota, but take Arizona. Rs still hold 51-49. I think Ds clean up in Governor's races too. 

justincredible

Honorable Admin

Mon, Nov 5, 2018 9:45 AM

Whatever happens, I can't wait to #VoteThemOut in 2/4/6/8 years!

Spock

Senior Member

Mon, Nov 5, 2018 11:00 AM
posted by ptown_trojans_1

Ds take the House, winning an additional 30 seats.  Rs hold on to the Senate as all the races are a wash. Ds hold on to all seats, except North Dakota, but take Arizona. Rs still hold 51-49. I think Ds clean up in Governor's races too. 

30 seats???  Isnt there only 35 total?  

justincredible

Honorable Admin

Mon, Nov 5, 2018 11:13 AM
posted by Spock

30 seats???  Isnt there only 35 total?  

wut

Heretic

Son of the Sun

Mon, Nov 5, 2018 11:43 AM
posted by gut

You are the quintessential "useful idiot".  Regardless of election results, the "caravan" will cease to be a story, anywhere, immediately after the election.

You're giving him too much credit by including the word "useful".

ptown_trojans_1

Moderator

Mon, Nov 5, 2018 11:54 AM
posted by Spock

30 seats???  Isnt there only 35 total?  

LOL. Yeah 435...bro. 

fish82

Senior Member

Mon, Nov 5, 2018 12:32 PM

GOP holds the House by 3-4 seats, and goes to 53-57 in the Senate.

In a perfect world, the HOR finishes 218-217 either way, and then we can watch the shitstorm  as it flips back and forth for the next two years. 

CenterBHSFan

333 - I'm only half evil

Mon, Nov 5, 2018 12:57 PM

Not making any predictions on how I think the results will unfold. I will say that I won't be surprised by either outcome.

like_that

1st Team All-PWN

Mon, Nov 5, 2018 1:28 PM
posted by CenterBHSFan

Not making any predictions on how I think the results will unfold. I will say that I won't be surprised by either outcome.

Pretty much what Nate Silver said, so you're officially on his level!

QuakerOats

Senior Member

Mon, Nov 5, 2018 3:11 PM

 

GOP adds 3 in the Senate, and keeps the House by 3.

CenterBHSFan

333 - I'm only half evil

Mon, Nov 5, 2018 3:21 PM
posted by like_that

Pretty much what Nate Silver said, so you're officially on his level!

Boo!

I just am leary of making predictions since, you know, I predicted Hillary Clinton to win the presidency... 
I'm NO good at it haha! (which means, neither is Silver)

CenterBHSFan

333 - I'm only half evil

Mon, Nov 5, 2018 3:22 PM

Alright, I just took the plunge and predicted that the republicans hold both.

Spock

Senior Member

Mon, Nov 5, 2018 4:13 PM
posted by justincredible

wut

The talking heads say that 35 House races will determine the outcome.  Dems need something like 23 of the 35 to win back the house.  I know that there are 400+ total seats but 35 are toss ups

CenterBHSFan

333 - I'm only half evil

Mon, Nov 5, 2018 5:23 PM

Video going around from MSNBC saying that voter suppression is already happening across the country. I guess they are hedging a possible loss tomorrow by preempting reasons.

Spock

Senior Member

Mon, Nov 5, 2018 9:27 PM
posted by CenterBHSFan

Video going around from MSNBC saying that voter suppression is already happening across the country. I guess they are hedging a possible loss tomorrow by preempting reasons.

CYA on their defeat.  Lose and they will scream Russia....Russia......Russia