posted by justincredible

What's a 3 ball bet? I have yet to be on any golf.

First 2 rounds golf usually has 3-somes. It’s picking the winner of the group for that round.

Weekends will move to 2-ball. The bigger events have tournament head to heads which doesn’t always correlate to the players in same group.

You can find some advantages, especially on day 2, if someone is around the cutline vs 2 others out of it or well inside. They will be forced to be aggressive and go low to make cut. Can backfire, but often you’ll get guys shoot lower that day.

Got it. Sounds fun.

posted by justincredible

Got it. Sounds fun.

Except when you go 0 for 3, like I did yesterday, especially when Werenski, at +400, triple bogies the 17th to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.  

Made up for some of it on the Purdue game with an early in-game bet when the line went to -2.5, and they ended up winning by 5.

Still have some decent bets in good position at Torrey Pines .....we'll see what happens.

Tsitsipas makes the final. Unfortunately, Novak did as well. Novak is -440 and my $50 Tsitsi bet would net $850. Not enough for me to realistically hedge/cashout. And its at 3am in the morning, so I am not live hedging at any point unless this thing goes 5 and I wake up. 

Here is hoping!

Had a decent night last night after being cold all week. Took the promotion on Milwaukee and Golden State moneyline boost DK was offering and added Garland >10 assist. Almost added SGA >30 points but didn’t. Milwaukee was making me nervous. They were up 30 at halftime, then Indiana cut lead down to only 6-7 points late in 4th quarter. 

Jokic and Embiid are both GTD for today but if they play might hammer their over on points.

I did a FanDuel parlay on the same game. Needed 2 more Giannis assists and my $3 would’ve paid out $43. Stupid sucker bets with free money. I’ve lost every single one but keep trying. 

I've been living off of NHL overs the last week. They have been hitting more often than not. 

For tomorrow, I'm pretty torn. I do have future bets each of 49ers, Eagles, and Bengals to win Superbowl. I also have 49ers to win NFC at +200.

But, having all of the money and bets on the Eagles and Bengals, makes me want to take 49ers +3 and KC -1.5. KC ML may be my hedge.

That's my lean right now. 

How or where can I bet on A-A-ron to the Jets?

posted by friendfromlowry

Had a decent night last night after being cold all week. Took the promotion on Milwaukee and Golden State moneyline boost DK was offering and added Garland >10 assist. Almost added SGA >30 points but didn’t. Milwaukee was making me nervous. They were up 30 at halftime, then Indiana cut lead down to only 6-7 points late in 4th quarter. 

Jokic and Embiid are both GTD for today but if they play might hammer their over on points.

I’d be very wary if they’re overs; particularly Jokic, who is more than happy to take 5 shots a game if needed.

Nikola Jokic vs Joel Embiid (past 6 times avg):

Jokic:             

• 21.5 PPG           
  
• 9.0 RPG             
  
• 7.2 APG               
  

Embiid:

• 22.2 PPG
  
• 10.8 RPG
• 3.3 APG

I haven’t seen any confirmation on Embiid playing yet so I’ll probably forget about it before 3pm tip off. 

He is active.

You’re active 

Think this will pay out?

posted by justincredible

Think this will pay out?

A lot of people were high on Aaron Gordon today with his points. I just never felt confident.

But I’d say you’re in good shape still. Harden and Caldwell-Pope can get going quick if they hit a few shots.

Also got this one going which looks good. Not sure why it doesn’t have the tracking graphics like the other bet. 

Hoping for a little golf prayer. Ryder to falter and Morikawa to turn it on these last 11 holes…

I should cash in on some T20’s with Morikawa and Homa. And Bradley and McNealy are in the mix at least. 

And I lost both bets. Stupid Harden missed a three with a minute to go that would’ve paid me $10. 

Jokic rebound with 25 seconds left was huge for me

Thinking of putting $5-10 on Rahm winning each major assuming he’ll win one and that would cover the other bets and then some. They’re currently +1000, +1300, and two at +1200. 

Might throw a dollar or two on a couple other guys for each major after a little research on how well they play each course historically. 

I just put $5 on Bradley to win at +850. Unlikely but worth a shot. 

posted by justincredible

Thinking of putting $5-10 on Rahm winning each major assuming he’ll win one and that would cover the other bets and then some. They’re currently +1000, +1300, and two at +1200. 

Might throw a dollar or two on a couple other guys for each major after a little research on how well they play each course historically. 

Did something kind of similar at the beginning of January (w/o Rahm though). If this hits, I’ll buy the OC

Lmao I might put in the same bet for a dollar. We can share in the spoils. 

posted by justincredible

I just put $5 on Bradley to win at +850. Unlikely but worth a shot. 

Farts noises. What a choke on 18.

posted by justincredible

Thinking of putting $5-10 on Rahm winning each major assuming he’ll win one and that would cover the other bets and then some. They’re currently +1000, +1300, and two at +1200. 

Might throw a dollar or two on a couple other guys for each major after a little research on how well they play each course historically. 

Horrible odds. You can get Rahm to win the Genisis at +1400, to lay that on a major with a field that is the best in the world would be asinine.

I wonder if you’d come out ahead just betting the over on Embiid points every game. He’s gotta be pissed on the all star starter snub.