Division 3 Region 11

• LocoEngineer66

  

  1 9-0 Steubenville 28.1075 clinched home game
  2 9-0 Minerva 23.8944 clinched home game
  3 8-1 Dover 22.9222 clinched playoff spot
  4 5-3 Cardinal Mooney 21.7658 clinched playoff spot
  5 7-2 Northwest 19.0505
  6 7-2 Indian Creek 17.6317
  7 6-3 Poland 17.1389
  8 8-1 Sheridan 16.6778
  9 7-2 Marlington 15.7333
  10 8-1 Granville 15.6167
  
  If Dover beats New Phila they will jump back to 2nd ... as long as Minerva wins they will finish 3rd.
• SUPER787

  LocoEngineer66;942726 wrote:1 9-0 Steubenville 28.1075 clinched home game
  2 9-0 Minerva 23.8944 clinched home game
  3 8-1 Dover 22.9222 clinched playoff spot
  4 5-3 Cardinal Mooney 21.7658 clinched playoff spot
  5 7-2 Northwest 19.0505
  6 7-2 Indian Creek 17.6317
  7 6-3 Poland 17.1389
  8 8-1 Sheridan 16.6778
  9 7-2 Marlington 15.7333
  10 8-1 Granville 15.6167
  
  If Dover beats New Phila they will jump back to 2nd ... as long as Minerva wins they will finish 3rd.

  Was I.C. 6th last week or 8th?
• Bigred1995

  

  SUPER787;943311 wrote:Was I.C. 6th last week or 8th?

  
  I believe they were 9th.
  
  
  Sent from my iPhone 4S using Tapatalk
• icredskins

  

  SUPER787;943311 wrote:Was I.C. 6th last week or 8th?

  Indian Creek was 8th last week.
• 4cards

  

  ...Best of luck to the Creek, I hope you guys get in!
• Wooball

  

  Haven't done this in a bit, so my #'s could be a bit off and trying to pick the winners of some of these games isn't always the easiest. But this is what I am getting after week 10. NOTE: I am assuming CCC tops Aquinas and Dover beats Phila. I also didn't figure Big Red, Dover or Minerva's totals because they seemed to be locked 1,2,3 respectively if they win in week 10. Also assuming everyone wins their week 10 games unless otherwise noted.
  
  Poland Loss to Canfield
  1 - Big Red
  2 - Dover
  3 - Minerva
  4 - Mooney - 25.909
  5 - Northwest - 21.826
  6 - Sheridan - 21.5
  7 - Indian Creek - 20.658
  8 - Granville - 19.45
  9 - Marlington - 18.75 (19.2 if Aquinas upsets CCC, 19.3 if Garfield upsets Kenmore 19.75 if BOTH Aquinas and Garfield win)
  10 - Poland - 18.454
  
  If Poland beats Canfield
  1 - Big Red
  2 - Dover
  3 - Minerva
  4 - Mooney - 25.909
  5 - Poland - 22.185
  6 - Sheridan - 21.5
  7 - Northwest - 21.321 (21.776 if Aquinas upsets CCC)
  8 - Creek - 20.658
  9 - Granville - 19.45
  10 - Marlington - 19.3
  
  If anyone else has done this, are these #'s close to yours?
  
  EDIT: changes to Northwest and Poland. Error pointed out by sloopyhangon. For some reason I gave Northwest and extra win when figuring Poland beating Canfield instead of taking one away.
• sloopyhangon

  How do your points magically go up for NW with Poland beating Canfield. It should be the opposite, if Canfield beats Poland (Scenario 1) then NW will get L2 pts from Canfield, but in Scenario 2 you have NW going up in Points but only variable that changed was Poland beating Canfield. Just something to look at.
• Wooball

  

  sloopyhangon;943387 wrote:How do your points magically go up for NW with Poland beating Canfield. It should be the opposite, if Canfield beats Poland (Scenario 1) then NW will get L2 pts from Canfield, but in Scenario 2 you have NW going up in Points but only variable that changed was Poland beating Canfield. Just something to look at.

  Fixed it, THX
• skiisme753

  Your projections are close to the ones on fantatic50 and they haven't been updated for this week yet
  
  Region 11 Projections
  1) Steubenville 31.43
  2) Dover 29.20
  3) Minerva 27.50
  4) Cardinal Mooney (Youngstown) 24.08
  5) Northwest (Canal Fulton) 21.83
  6) Sheridan (Thornville) 21.40
  7) Indian Creek (Wintersville) 20.44
  8) Granville 19.45
• Ohio

  

  I dont think Poland or Northwest wanna get the 5 seed
• BTrev

  I think Poland would like to avoid Mooney in the first round, if possible... but I'm sure they'd like another shot at the Cards.
  
  IMO... Poland will beat Canfield.
• outpost

  I tried to put all the teams in one post but was given a message it was too long. I will have a second post with the remaining teams.
  
  The point total beside the school name is the minimum point total after week 10. I have already added in the points where two defeated teams play each other.
  
  (9-0) STEUBENVILLE 27.8121
  
  add .7346 if (9-0) Steubenville beats (1-7) Tonawanda Cardinal O'Hara (NY)
  add .6593 if (6-2) Morgantown (WV) beats (2-3) Morgantown University School (WV)
  add .6044 if (5-4) Akron Buchtel beats (5-4) Akron Firestone
  add .6044 if (3-3) Hamilton Bishop Ryan (ON) beats (3-2) Hamilton St. Thomas More (ON)
  add .6044 if (4-4) Wellsburg Brooke (WV) beats (0-8) Glen Dale John Marshall (WV)
  add .5495 if (3-6) Youngstown Ursuline beats (8-1) Akron St. Vincent-St. Mary
  add .5495 if (0-9) East Liverpool beats (0-8) Weirton (WV)
  add .6593 if (3-4) Baltimore Mount St. Joseph (MD) beats (?-?) Baltimore Gilman (MD)
  add .6593 if (6-2) Buffalo St. Joseph’s (NY) beats (2-1) Buffalo Bishop Timon (NY)
  add .6593 if (7-2) Massillon beats (7-2) Canton McKinley
  
  (9-0) MINERVA 24.90
  
  add 1.55 if (9-0) Minerva beats (2-7) Carrollton
  add .55 if (4-5) Mogadore Field beats (2-7) Akron Springfield
  add .45 if (5-4) Louisville St. Thomas Aquinas beats (8-1) Canton Central Catholic
  add .45 if (4-5) Massillon Tuslaw beats (2-7) Navarre Fairless
  add .05 if (1-8) Canton South beats (5-4) Louisville
  add .05 if (7-2) Alliance Marlington beats (5-4) Alliance
  
  (8-1) DOVER 23.00
  
  add 4.25 if (8-1) Dover beats (7-2) New Philadelphia
  add .50 if (2-7) Carrollton beats (9-0) Minerva
  add .55 if (5-4) Ashland beats (5-4) Lexington
  add .50 if (8-1) Dresden Tri-Valley beats (6-3) Philo
  add .60 if (0-9) Toledo Woodward beats (3-6) Toledo Waite
  add .45 if (7-2) Uhrichsville Claymont beats (1-8) Zanesville West Muskingum
  add .45 if (7-2) Cambridge beats (3-6) Byesville Meadowbrook
  
  (5-3) CARDINAL MOONEY 21.3908
  
  add 1.9904 if (5-3) Youngstown Cardinal Mooney beats (2-7) Uniontown Lake
  add .6897 if (7-2) Canton McKinley beats (7-2) Massillon
  add .6897 if (6-3) Youngstown Boardman beats (6-3) Austintown-Fitch
  add .4598 if (3-4) Bear Red Lion Christian (DE) beats (1-5) Valley Forge Military (PA)
  add .6897 if (5-3) Lewistown Mifflin County (PA) beats (?-?) Mill Hall Central Mountain (PA)
  add .4598 if (8-1) Akron St. Vincent-St. Mary beats (3-6) Youngstown Ursuline
  
  (7-2) NORTHWEST 18.6505
  
  add 2.1157 if (7-2) Canal Fulton Northwest beats (3-6) Barberton
  add .6061 if (6-3) Cleveland John Hay beats (5-3) Cleveland Glenville
  add .5556 if (1-8) Canton South beats (5-4) Louisville
  add .5051 if (1-8) Parma Padua beats (1-8) Akron Hoban
  add .5051 if (7-2) New Philadelphia beats (8-1) Dover
  add .5556 if (3-6) Columbus St. Charles beats (3-6) Marion Harding
  add .5051 if (6-3) Canfield beats (6-3) Poland Seminary
  add .4545 if (5-4) Louisville St. Thomas Aquinas beats (8-1) Canton Central Catholic
  
  (7-2) INDIAN CREEK 18.1469
  
  add 1.9449 if (7-2) Wintersville Indian Creek beats (3-6) Richmond Edison
  add .5155 if (0-8) Weirton (WV) beats (0-9) East Liverpool
  add .5155 if (8-1) New Cumberland Oak Glen (WV) beats (4-4) Magnolia (WV)
  add .0515 if (5-4) Bellaire beats (7-2) Martins Ferry
  add .4639 if (0-9) Belmont Union Local beats (8-1) St. Clairsville
  add .0515 if (4-5) Cadiz Harrison Central beats (5-4) Rayland Buckeye Local
  
  (6-3) POLAND 17.4439
  
  add 3.7319 if (6-3) Poland Seminary beats (6-3) Canfield
  add .4545 if (5-4) Cortland Lakeview beats (2-7) Warren Champion
  add .5556 if (7-2) Canal Fulton Northwest beats (3-6) Barberton
  add .5556 if (3-6) Youngstown East beats (5-4) Akron Ellet
  add .4545 if (1-8) Lisbon Beaver Local beats (8-1) Brookfield
  
  (8-1) SHERIDAN 17.15
  
  add 3.80 if (8-1) Thornville Sheridan beats (7-2) New Lexington
  add .35 if (1-8) Hebron Lakewood beats (4-5) Newark Catholic
  add .50 if (1-8) Zanesville West Muskingum beats (7-2) Uhrichsville Claymont
  add .10 if (4-5) Crooksville beats (2-7) New Concord John Glenn
  add .45 if (7-2) Cambridge beats (3-6) Byesville Meadowbrook
  add .55 if (6-3) Philo beats (8-1) Dresden Tri-Valley
  
• outpost

  Here are the remaining teams.
  
  (8-1) GRANVILLE 16.50
  
  add 2.80 if (8-1) Granville beats (5-4) Gahanna Columbus Academy
  add .40 if (2-7) Utica beats (7-2) Centerburg
  add .55 if (0-9) Lancaster Fairfield Union beats (4-5) Ashville Teays Valley
  add .05 if (3-6) Heath beats (6-3) Newark Licking Valley
  add .15 if (4-5) Newark Catholic beats (1-8) Hebron Lakewood
  
  (7-2) MARLINGTON 15.85
  
  add 2.90 if (7-2) Alliance Marlington beats (5-4) Alliance
  add .45 if (5-4) Louisville St. Thomas Aquinas beats (8-1) Canton Central Catholic
  add .55 if (2-7) Akron Garfield beats (5-4) Akron Kenmore
  add .55 if (6-3) Poland Seminary beats (6-3) Canfield
  add .50 if (2-7) Carrollton beats (9-0) Minerva
  add .55 if (1-8) Canton South beats (5-4) Louisville
  
  (7-2) CAMBRIDGE 13.8010
  
  add 1.4194 if (7-2) Cambridge beats (3-6) Byesville Meadowbrook
  add .5612 if (0-8) Glen Dale John Marshall (WV) beats (4-4) Wellsburg Brooke (WV)
  add .5612 if (2-7) Mount Vernon beats (7-2) New Albany
  add .4592 if (2-7) Warsaw River View beats (7-2) Coshocton
  add .5102 if (7-2) New Philadelphia beats (8-1) Dover
  add .5102 if (0-9) East Liverpool beats (0-8) Weirton (WV)
  
  (7-2) CLAYMONT 13.2000
  
  add .9551 if (7-2) Uhrichsville Claymont beats (1-8) Zanesville West Muskingum
  add .5051 if (4-5) Cadiz Harrison Central beats (5-4) Rayland Buckeye Local
  add .4545 if (6-3) Gnadenhutten Indian Valley beats (4-5) Zoarville Tuscarawas Valley
  add .5051 if (2-7) Carrollton beats (9-0) Minerva
  add .4545 if (2-7) Warsaw River View beats (7-2) Coshocton
  add .4040 if (5-4) Zanesville Rosecrans beats (5-4) Beverly Fort Frye
  add .4545 if (1-8) Lisbon Beaver Local beats (8-1) Brookfield
  add .5051 if (3-6) Byesville Meadowbrook beats (7-2) Cambridge
  
  (7-2) NEW LEXINGTON 11.1788
  
  add 4.3889 if (7-2) New Lexington beats (8-1) Thornville Sheridan
  add .5556 if (0-9) Lancaster Fairfield Union beats (4-5) Ashville Teays Valley
  add .5556 if (6-3) Philo beats (8-1) Dresden Tri-Valley
  add .5051 if (1-8) McConnelsville Morgan beats (4-5) Zanesville Maysville
  add .5051 if (3-6) Byesville Meadowbrook beats (7-2) Cambridge
  add .1010 if (4-5) Crooksville beats (2-7) New Concord John Glenn
  add .5051 if (1-8) Zanesville West Muskingum beats (7-2) Uhrichsville Claymont
  
• LocoEngineer66

  

  outpost;944173 wrote:I tried to put all the teams in one post but was given a message it was too long. I will have a second post with the remaining teams.
  
  The point total beside the school name is the minimum point total after week 10. I have already added in the points where two defeated teams play each other.
  (9-0) MINERVA 24.90
  
  add 1.55 if (9-0) Minerva beats (2-7) Carrollton
  add .55 if (4-5) Mogadore Field beats (2-7) Akron Springfield
  add .45 if (5-4) Louisville St. Thomas Aquinas beats (8-1) Canton Central Catholic
  add .45 if (4-5) Massillon Tuslaw beats (2-7) Navarre Fairless
  add .05 if (1-8) Canton South beats (5-4) Louisville
  add .05 if (7-2) Alliance Marlington beats (5-4) Alliance
  
  

  A couple questions ... no points from the West Branch/Salem game???? Wouldn't Minerva get more if Louisville won against South????
• Wooball

  

  LocoEngineer66;944293 wrote:A couple questions ... no points from the West Branch/Salem game???? Wouldn't Minerva get more if Louisville won against South????

  I'm assuming he already has the points from the West Branch/Salem game in Minerva's total, since both are D3 it doesn't matter who wins. And no, a South(d3) win over Louisville(d2) is worth .5 more L2 points than the other way around.
  
  Minerva will finish 2nd if Dover falls to Phila, 3rd if Dover beats Phila.
• ts1227

  

  Wooball;944567 wrote:I'm assuming he already has the points from the West Branch/Salem game in Minerva's total, since both are D3 it doesn't matter who wins

  
  Most likely. They get a D3 team moving from 4 wins to 5 either way, so it's the same amount of points regardless of who wins and can be figured in now.
• LocoEngineer66

  

  Wooball;944567 wrote:I'm assuming he already has the points from the West Branch/Salem game in Minerva's total, since both are D3 it doesn't matter who wins. And no, a South(d3) win over Louisville(d2) is worth .5 more L2 points than the other way around.
  
  Minerva will finish 2nd if Dover falls to Phila, 3rd if Dover beats Phila.

  Thanks Woo ... I wasn't sure how it worked.
• outpost

  "I'm assuming he already has the points from the West Branch/Salem game in Minerva's total, since both are D3 it doesn't matter who wins. And no, a South(d3) win over Louisville(d2) is worth .5 more L2 points than the other way around."
  
  Correct on both cases.
• Thinthickbigred

  http://www.youtube.com/watch?V=b2bfk...eature=related