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BCS Bowl Projections

  • enigmaax
    pinstriper;559013 wrote:LSU will lose to ARK in Little Rock in 2 weeks. That leaves ARK at 10-2, LSU at 10-2. The interesting thing will be how far they will drop. It could leave 3 BigTen teams with 1 loss, a Stanford team with 1 loss, and Boise State.
    That puts Wisc in the ROSE, and OSU in the SUGAR vs. Boise. It also places Stanford in the ORANGE vs. Nebraska/Okl St.

    I assume then you've got Auburn winning out? I highly doubt the Sugar Bowl will pass on a 10-2 SEC team in favor of Boise.
  • pinstriper
    enigmaax;559024 wrote:I assume then you've got Auburn winning out? I highly doubt the Sugar Bowl will pass on a 10-2 SEC team in favor of Boise.

    Yeah, AUB wins out...and I agree, it'd be tough for them to pass on ARk vs. OSU, or LSU vs. OSU...but the pressure to take Boise will be there.
  • Cleveland Buck
    An 11-1 Ohio State would be more deserving than 11-1 Stanford. Stanford will have beaten 2 teams all year with a winning record. Ohio State will have beaten 5 should they win out. It doesn't really matter who is more deserving though, because the only way Stanford gets picked at large is if a non AQ makes the title game. The Rose Bowl would take them. No other BCS bowl would take them over Ohio State, Oklahoma, LSU, or really anyone.
  • Cleveland Buck
    The only way Boise (or TCU, whichever one finishes lower) gets an at large bid to the BCS is if the final choice of at large teams is limited to teams like Stanford and Oklahoma State, teams which aren't going to bring much more money than Boise. Then the bowls would give in to the pressure and take Boise to shut everyone up. If Oklahoma is sitting out there, sorry Boise.
  • Leonardo
    BCS NC: Auburn (#1) vs. Oregon (#2)

    Rose Bowl: Boise State (2nd at-large pick/rule) vs. Wisconsin (Big 10 champion)

    Orange Bowl: Virginia Tech (ACC champion) vs. TCU (4th at-large pick)

    Sugar Bowl: LSU (1st at-large pick) vs. Ohio State (3rd at-large pick)

    Fiesta Bowl: Nebraska (Big-12 champion) vs. Pittsburgh (5th at-large pick)
  • Leonardo
    Mark Schlabach:
    BCS NC: Oregon vs. Auburn

    Rose: Boise State vs. Wisconsin

    Orange: Virginia Tech vs. Ohio State

    Sugar: LSU vs. TCU

    Fiesta: Oklahoma State vs. Pittsburgh
  • Leonardo
    Andrea Adelson:
    BCS NC: Oregon vs. Boise State

    Rose: Wisconsin vs. Stanford

    Orange: Virginia Tech vs. Ohio State

    Sugar: Auburn vs. TCU

    Fiesta: Nebraska vs. Pittsburgh
  • dazedconfused
    Leonardo;570384 wrote:Mark Schlabach:
    BCS NC: Oregon vs. Auburn

    Rose: Boise State vs. Wisconsin

    Orange: Virginia Tech vs. Ohio State

    Sugar: LSU vs. TCU

    Fiesta: Oklahoma State vs. Pittsburgh

    that would be mine as well
  • Cleveland Buck
    The Sugar Bowl isn't going to take a mid major after getting stuck with Cincinnati last year, and Utah and Hawaii the prior two years. They will want a big money matchup.
  • dazedconfused
    Cleveland Buck;570417 wrote:The Sugar Bowl isn't going to take a mid major after getting stuck with Cincinnati last year, and Utah and Hawaii the prior two years. They will want a big money matchup.
    so with the rose bowl and sugar bowl both losing their tie-ins in schlabach's scenario, does the sugar bowl get the next two selections after the rose bowl takes boise or do they only get one? obviously if they get two in a row, ohio state and lsu will be their selections. if they only have one, why would they chose stanford over tcu?
  • Cleveland Buck
    dazedconfused;570478 wrote:so with the rose bowl and sugar bowl both losing their tie-ins in schlabach's scenario, does the sugar bowl get the next two selections after the rose bowl takes boise or do they only get one? obviously if they get two in a row, ohio state and lsu will be their selections. if they only have one, why would they chose stanford over tcu?

    In Schlabach's scenario (Oregon vs. Auburn title game), the selection order would be:

    Rose (forced to take the highest ranked non-AQ)
    Sugar
    Sugar
    Orange
    Fiesta
  • dazedconfused
    Cleveland Buck;570481 wrote:In Schlabach's scenario, the selection order would be:

    Rose (forced to take the highest ranked non-AQ)
    Sugar
    Sugar
    Orange
    Fiesta

    that's what i thought after reading the selection rules again. so it becomes either tcu or stanford for the orange bowl. i don't think either is a ratings juggernaut, so i'd go with the undefeated team
  • Cleveland Buck
    TCU would get picked over Stanford for any BCS bowl except the Rose Bowl. If Auburn loses, Boise State would go to the title game, so the Rose Bowl wouldn't be forced to take a non-AQ. They would take Stanford to play the Big Ten champion. The Sugar Bowl would still take a second Big Ten team, leaving TCU to play in the Poinsettia Bowl or whatever.
  • darbypitcher22
    wow... seems like whatever way you go that's gonna be one clunker of a Fiesta Bowl with a pretty good Oklahoma State team facing a potentially 5 loss Pittsburgh team
  • krambman
    darbypitcher22;570546 wrote:wow... seems like whatever way you go that's gonna be one clunker of a Fiesta Bowl with a pretty good Oklahoma State team facing a potentially 5 loss Pittsburgh team

    Whichever team wins the Big XII is going to play someone awful from the Big Least. At this point Syracuse could still end up in Glendale. Let's just hope that Nebraska makes it and blows them out so that we have the last Big XII champion and an impressive BCS bowl winner joining the Big Ten next year. How great would it be to have three defending BCS bowl winners in the conference next season?
  • lhslep134
    krambman;570678 wrote: How great would it be to have three defending BCS bowl winners in the conference next season?

    Considering it's impossible except for this exact scenario, I'd say it'd be pretty freakin cool.
  • Sonofanump
    One sites opinion. Looks like a Big Ten fest on New Years Day.

    December 31, 2010 Tempe, AZ
    Insight Bowl
    Big Ten No. 4 or 5 vs. Big 12 No. 4
    Projection: Michigan vs. Missouri

    December 31, 2010 Atlanta, GA
    Chick-fil-A Bowl 7:30 pm ESPN
    ACC No. 2 vs. SEC No. 3, 4 or 5
    Projection: NC State vs. Mississippi State

    January 1, 2011 Tampa, FL
    Outback Bowl 1:00 pm ABC
    Big Ten No. 3 vs. SEC No. 3, 4 or 5
    Projection: Iowa vs. Arkansas

    January 1, 2011 Orlando, FL
    Capital One Bowl 1:00 pm ABC
    Big Ten No. 2 vs. SEC No. 2
    Projection: Michigan State vs. South Carolina

    January 1, 2011 Jacksonville, FL
    Gator Bowl 1:30 pm ESPN2
    Big Ten No. 4 or 5 vs. SEC No. 6
    Projection: Penn State vs. Florida

    January 1, 2011 Dallas, TX
    Dallas Football Classic 11:30 am ESPNU
    Big Ten No. 6 vs. Big 12 No. 7 (C-USA No. 7 if no Big Ten or Big 12, MAC is the second backup)
    Projection: Northwestern vs. Texas Tech

    January 2, 2011 Arlington, TX
    AT&T Cotton Bowl Classic 8:00 pm FOX
    Big 12 No. 2 vs. SEC No. 3, 4, or 5 (West)
    Projection: Nebraska vs. LSU

    BCS BOWLS

    January 1, 2011 Pasadena, CA
    Rose Bowl 4:30 pm ABC
    Big Ten No. 1 vs. Pac 10 No. 1
    Projection: Wisconsin vs. Boise State

    January 1, 2011 Glendale, AZ
    Fiesta Bowl 8:00 pm ABC
    Big 12 No. 1 vs. BCS
    Projection: Oklahoma vs. Pitt

    January 3, 2011 Miami, FL
    Orange Bowl 8:00 pm ABC
    ACC No. 1 vs. BCS at-large
    Projection: Virginia Tech vs. Ohio State

    January 4, 2011 New Orleans, LA
    Sugar Bowl 8:00 pm ABC
    SEC No. 1 vs. BCS at-large
    Projection: Alabama vs. TCU

    January 10, 2011 Glendale, AZ
    BCS Championship 8:00 pm ABC
    BCS No. 1 vs. BCS No. 2
  • Skyhook79
    National Championship- Oregon vs Auburn
    Rose- Wisky vs Stanford
    Sugar- Nebraska vs TCU
    Orange- Va Tech vs Pitt
    Fiesta- Ohio St vs Boise St.

    That is what I would like to see.
  • Leonardo
    Skyhook79;570935 wrote:National Championship- Oregon vs Auburn
    Rose- Wisky vs Stanford
    Sugar- LSU vs TCU
    Orange- Va Tech vs Pitt
    Fiesta- Ohio St vs Boise St.

    That is what I would like to see.

    Where's your Big 12 champion? They have an automatic tie-in to the Fiesta Bowl.