BCS Bowl Projections

• dave

  I don't see both Boise and TCU getting a BCS game this year unless 1 is in the title game. There are just too many great programs that will have 1 or 2 losses. Stanford would be a great pick for the Fiesta to match up with Nebraska.
• Cleveland Buck

  

  There will be political pressure to put them both in BCS bowls, and unless you have a big name program sitting out there like Ohio State or Oklahoma or Nebraska, they would rather just take the mid major and avoid the headache. Stanford isn't going to bring any fans or ratings to anything except the Rose Bowl. If one of the mid majors makes the title game, they will take Stanford, but none of the other bowls want them.
• cats gone wild

  Cleveland Buck;557372 wrote:Auto Bids:
  Oregon
  Michigan State (tied to Rose Bowl)
  Virginia Tech (tied to Orange Bowl)
  West Virginia
  Auburn
  Nebraska (tied to Fiesta Bowl)
  Boise State (Highest Ranked Non AQ in BCS Top 8, tied to Rose Bowl if it loses a team to the BCS Title Game)
  LSU (AQ BCS Top 4)
  
  Selection Order
  Rose Bowl selects Boise State to replace Oregon (BCS #1)
  Sugar Bowl selects LSU to replace Auburn (BCS #2)
  Sugar Bowl selects Wisconsin
  Orange Bowl selects West Virginia
  Fiesta Bowl selects TCU
  
  BCS National Championship
  Oregon (12-0, 9-0, Pac-10 Champion) vs. Auburn (12-1, 7-1, SEC Champion)
  
  Rose Bowl
  Michigan State (11-1, 7-1, Big Ten Champion) vs. Boise State (12-0, 8-0, At Large)
  
  Fiesta Bowl
  Nebraska (12-1, 7-1, Big XII Champion) vs. TCU (12-0, 8-0, At Large)
  
  Sugar Bowl
  LSU (11-1, 7-1, At Large) vs. Wisconsin (11-1, 7-1, At Large)
  
  Orange Bowl
  Virginia Tech (11-2, 8-0, ACC Champion) vs. West Virginia (9-3, 5-2, Big East Champion)

  
  Its too bad the ACC and Big East have to waste two BCS spots. Im hoping for Auburn to lose to Bama and USCe. I wouldnt be surprised if Arky beats LSU. I really hope Oregon chokes, as I feel they are very overrated, but I dont see it happening. I want to see Boise or TCU to make title game to throw the BCS for a loop.
• Leonardo

  

  So, looking at your projections - you have Iowa beating Ohio State next Saturday?
  
  And, can you post a link that says Boise State is tied to the Rose Bowl if the RB loses a team to the National Championship? I'm not doubting you. I've just never heard of it.
• Cleveland Buck

  

  Auto Bids:
  Oregon
  Michigan State (tied to Rose Bowl)
  Virginia Tech (tied to Orange Bowl)
  West Virginia
  Auburn
  Nebraska (tied to Fiesta Bowl)
  Boise State (Highest Ranked Non AQ in BCS Top 8, tied to Rose Bowl if it loses a team to the BCS Title Game)
  LSU (AQ BCS Top 4)
  
  Selection Order
  Rose Bowl selects Boise State to replace Oregon (BCS #1)
  Sugar Bowl selects LSU to replace Auburn (BCS #2)
  Sugar Bowl selects Oklahoma
  Orange Bowl selects Wisconsin
  Fiesta Bowl selects West Virginia
  
  BCS National Championship
  Oregon (12-0, 9-0, Pac-10 Champion) vs. Auburn (12-1, 7-1, SEC Champion)
  
  Rose Bowl
  Michigan State (11-1, 7-1, Big Ten Champion) vs. Boise State (12-0, 8-0, At Large)
  
  Fiesta Bowl
  Nebraska (12-1, 7-1, Big XII Champion) vs. West Virginia (9-3, 5-2, Big East Champion)
  
  Sugar Bowl
  LSU (11-1, 7-1, At Large) vs. Oklahoma (10-2, 6-2, At Large)
  
  Orange Bowl
  Virginia Tech (11-2, 8-0, ACC Champion) vs. Wisconsin (11-1, 7-1, At Large)
• Cleveland Buck

  

  Leonardo;557440 wrote:So, looking at your projections - you have Iowa beating Ohio State next Saturday?
  
  And, can you post a link that says Boise State is tied to the Rose Bowl if the RB loses a team to the National Championship? I'm not doubting you. I've just never heard of it.

  
  Yes I have Iowa beating Ohio State. And during these next 4 years, the first time the Rose Bowl loses one of its tie-ins to the national championship, they must select the highest ranked non-AQ team to replace them, provided the highest ranked non-AQ team is not in the BCS Championship game.
• Cleveland Buck

  

  I had to change my predictions because I forgot all about Oklahoma, and I have them beating Oklahoma State later on in the year which will guarantee they finish in the top 14 of the BCS standings. They would get picked in a heartbeat over TCU even if TCU was 30-0.
• Leonardo

  

  Cleveland Buck;557447 wrote:Yes I have Iowa beating Ohio State. And during these next 4 years, the first time the Rose Bowl loses one of its tie-ins to the national championship, they must select the highest ranked non-AQ team to replace them, provided the highest ranked non-AQ team is not in the BCS Championship game.

  
  Gotcha, but I do ponder - what if the highest non-AQ team is like 21st in the BCS standings? Is it just if there is one non-AQ in the top 14?
• Leonardo

  

  BCS National Championship game:
  (1) Auburn vs. (2) Oregon
  
  Rose Bowl:
  Boise State vs. Ohio State
  
  Fiesta Bowl:
  Nebraska vs. West Virginia
  
  Sugar Bowl:
  LSU vs. Wisconsin
  
  Orange Bowl:
  Virginia Tech vs. TCU
• Cleveland Buck

  

  Leonardo;557454 wrote:Gotcha, but I do ponder - what if the highest non-AQ team is like 21st in the BCS standings? Is it just if there is one non-AQ in the top 14?

  
  First of all, they only have to do it once, so if they pick a mid major this year, they won't have to do it anymore. Second, I'm sure the non AQ team has to be an autobid, meaning they are in the top 12 or ranked higher than a BCS conference champion.
• ts1227

  

  Leonardo;557454 wrote:Gotcha, but I do ponder - what if the highest non-AQ team is like 21st in the BCS standings? Is it just if there is one non-AQ in the top 14?

  
  The Non-AQ has to meet the criteria to be selected for a BCS bowl for the Rose Bowl thing to kick in.
  http://sports.espn.go.com/ncf/news/story?id=4359924
• dwccrew

  

  Leonardo;557459 wrote:BCS National Championship game:
  (1) Auburn vs. (2) Oregon
  
  Rose Bowl:
  Boise State vs. Ohio State
  
  Fiesta Bowl:
  Nebraska vs. West Virginia
  
  Sugar Bowl:
  LSU vs. Wisconsin
  
  Orange Bowl:
  Virginia Tech vs. TCU

  
  How do you have Wisky in the Sugar Bowl and Ohio State in the Rose Bowl? Wisky is ranked higher in the BCS and beat OSU heads up. I am not seeing how this would happen. Is it if OSU, Wisky and MSU all win out Wisky can't go to the Rose Bowl over MSU because of the head to head matchup, but MSU can't go over OSU because OSU is ranked higher in the BCS? I am not getting how you have that matchup?
• Cleveland Buck

  

  dwccrew;558078 wrote:How do you have Wisky in the Sugar Bowl and Ohio State in the Rose Bowl? Wisky is ranked higher in the BCS and beat OSU heads up. I am not seeing how this would happen. Is it if OSU, Wisky and MSU all win out Wisky can't go to the Rose Bowl over MSU because of the head to head matchup, but MSU can't go over OSU because OSU is ranked higher in the BCS? I am not getting how you have that matchup?

  
  If MSU/Wisconsin/OSU all finish at 7-1, the team highest ranked in the BCS will go to the Rose Bowl. He must have Wisconsin losing one of their final two games or Ohio State jumping them in the BCS.
• darbypitcher22

  

  Ohio State is not going to Pasadena... can we just forget about that?
• vball10set

  darbypitcher22;558339 wrote:Ohio State is not going to Pasadena... can we just forget about that?

  once they're mathematically eliminated, we will--I promise
• dwccrew

  

  Cleveland Buck;558295 wrote:If MSU/Wisconsin/OSU all finish at 7-1, the team highest ranked in the BCS will go to the Rose Bowl. He must have Wisconsin losing one of their final two games or Ohio State jumping them in the BCS.

  
  That's what is confusing, if Wisky loses 1 more, I don't see how they get an at-large bid (assuming OSU and MSU win out).
• enigmaax

  dwccrew;558397 wrote:That's what is confusing, if Wisky loses 1 more, I don't see how they get an at-large bid (assuming OSU and MSU win out).

  
  Agreed. Doubt Wisky is gonna get a bid with 2 losses. And I can't see how OSU's computer rating is going to make up all that ground on Wisky considering they both have Michigan plus a 7-3 team left (and OSU was already WAY behind in the computers last week).
• Ty Webb

  

  BCS National Championship
  #1 Boise State vs #2 LSU
  
  Sugar Bowl
  Auburn vs Stanford
  
  Orange Bowl
  Virginia Tech vs West Virginia
  
  Fiesta Bowl
  Oklahoma vs Wisconson
  
  Rose Bowl
  Michigan State vs Oregon
  
  Auburn loses to Alabama but wins SEC championship
  Oregon loses to Oregon State but still wins Pac-10 Championship
• Cleveland Buck

  

  Ty Webb;558807 wrote:BCS National Championship
  #1 Boise State vs #2 LSU
  
  Sugar Bowl
  Auburn vs Oklahoma
  
  Orange Bowl
  Virginia Tech vs West Virginia
  
  Fiesta Bowl
  Oklahoma vs Wisconson
  
  Rose Bowl
  Michigan State vs Oregon
  
  Auburn loses to Alabama but wins SEC championship
  Oregon loses to Oregon State but still wins Pac-10 Championship

  
  Oklahoma is so dominant they are going to play in 2 BCS bowls?
• Ty Webb

  

  Cleveland Buck;558811 wrote:Oklahoma is so dominant they are going to play in 2 BCS bowls?

  
  Fixed buck
• ytownfootball

  

  Can't believe someone even paid enough attention to a gibby post to find error...so common they often go ignored
• Leonardo

  

  enigmaax;558480 wrote:Agreed. Doubt Wisky is gonna get a bid with 2 losses. And I can't see how OSU's computer rating is going to make up all that ground on Wisky considering they both have Michigan plus a 7-3 team left (and OSU was already WAY behind in the computers last week).

  
  They both have Michigan and they both have a 7-3 team left. In my projections, I do have Ohio State jumping Wisconsin. Ohio State is only .07 behind Wisconsin the computers and only .0584 behind Wisconsin the BCS standings. Ohio State might have been hurt the most with Iowa losing yesterday.
• dazedconfused

  

  just going off the latest standings:
  
  bcs - oregon/auburn
  rose - wisky/tcu
  fiesta - nebraska/
  sugar -
  orange - virginia tech/west virginia?
  
  so that leaves boise, lsu, stanford and ohio state competing for the three remaining spots. i can't see lsu or ohio state being deserving and being left out, so that leaves either stanford or boise for the final spot. so one of these undefeated non-aq teams might get the shaft
• enigmaax

  Leonardo;558917 wrote:They both have Michigan and they both have a 7-3 team left. In my projections, I do have Ohio State jumping Wisconsin. Ohio State is only .07 behind Wisconsin the computers and only .0584 behind Wisconsin the BCS standings. Ohio State might have been hurt the most with Iowa losing yesterday.

  
  I just don't think it is going to happen if they both win out. Ohio State may pass them in the computers (looks like computers still like Iowa) but I don't think it'll be enough to overcome the voters.
  
  An LSU loss would likely move OSU much closer to Wisky in the polls, though. Or...a big jump by LSU toward the top would help as well. The key for OSU being knocking down that differential of 90-140 votes in each poll - and considering they moved in the wrong direction this week in both (Wisconsin picked up points, OSU lost points) I don't think it'll happen just by having both win out.
• pinstriper

  LSU will lose to ARK in Little Rock in 2 weeks. That leaves ARK at 10-2, LSU at 10-2. The interesting thing will be how far they will drop. It could leave 3 BigTen teams with 1 loss, a Stanford team with 1 loss, and Boise State.
  That puts Wisc in the ROSE, and OSU in the SUGAR vs. Boise. It also places Stanford in the ORANGE vs. Nebraska/Okl St.