Who will win the 2012 presidentail election?

• QuakerOats

  Huge swing to Romney among independants (where elections are won).
  
  Romney in a landslide!
  
  http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2012/10/08/Battleground-Romney-Crushing-Obama-Indies
• Ty Webb

  

  QuakerOats;1290289 wrote:Huge swing to Romney among independants (where elections are won).
  
  Romney in a landslide!
  
  http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2012/10/08/Battleground-Romney-Crushing-Obama-Indies

  
  Yep....that's why President Obama still leads in Michigan,Wisconsin,PA,Iowa,Colorado,Nevada,and New Mexico
• QuakerOats

  Ty Webb;1290291 wrote:Yep....that's why President Obama still leads in Michigan,Wisconsin,PA,Iowa,Colorado,Nevada,and New Mexico

  
  You do the math.
• Ty Webb

  

  QuakerOats;1290358 wrote:You do the math.

  I already have...it still favors President Obama
• believer

  

  Ty Webb;1290361 wrote:I already have...it still favors President Obama

  Two years ago you also said with confidence that the Dems would not only retain the House but add seats because the polls said so.
  
  I said this then and I'll say it now...The only poll that matters is the one that occurs on the first Tuesday of November.
• ernest_t_bass

  

  http://www.jibjab.com/view/I7Vo6umvV2vOj7Vh?utm_campaign=URL+Copy&utm_medium=Share&utm_source=JibJab&cmpid=jj_url
• fish82

  

  ernest_t_bass;1290392 wrote:http://www.jibjab.com/view/I7Vo6umvV2vOj7Vh?utm_campaign=URL+Copy&utm_medium=Share&utm_source=JibJab&cmpid=jj_url

  I just peed. :laugh:
• Ty Webb

  

  http://ideas.time.com/2012/10/08/what-history-tells-us-about-obamas-chances-now/
• Ty Webb

  

  ernest_t_bass;1290392 wrote:http://www.jibjab.com/view/I7Vo6umvV2vOj7Vh?utm_campaign=URL+Copy&utm_medium=Share&utm_source=JibJab&cmpid=jj_url

  Not going to lie....I laughed so hard I cried
• QuakerOats

  Ty Webb;1290467 wrote:http://ideas.time.com/2012/10/08/what-history-tells-us-about-obamas-chances-now/

  If the incumbent is under 50%, and it is October, guess what happens?
  
  Actually, you don't have to guess, you know the answer.
• gut

  QuakerOats;1290480 wrote:If the incumbent is under 50%, and it is October, guess what happens?
  
  Actually, you don't have to guess, you know the answer.

  And what about that "trajectory" going back to, say, April? Aside from a temporary Clinton-bump after the DNC, Obama's lead/gap has been slowly but surely eroding. They may have slowed, even stopped, the bleeding with attack ads the past few months, but Romney pretty much blew all that up last Wednesday.
  
  IMO, doubling down on the faux "real Romney" strategy is going to fail for them. Indications already today they are "rebooting" the strategy to sway enough marginal voters on foreign policy. That has a chance, but obviously Obama cannot go toe-to-toe on the economy. I don't think character attacks and policy criticism devoid tangible substance are going to sway the marginal voter on the economy.
• QuakerOats

  Pew Research: Romney opening up lead 49 - 45
  
  http://www.people-press.org/2012/10/08/romneys-strong-debate-performance-erases-obamas-lead/
  
  
  Nov 6th cannot arrive soon enough.
• BGFalcons82

  

  QuakerOats;1290553 wrote:Pew Research: Romney opening up lead 49 - 45
  
  http://www.people-press.org/2012/10/08/romneys-strong-debate-performance-erases-obamas-lead/
  
  
  Nov 6th cannot arrive soon enough.

  Holy shit, Batman! :thumbup:
  
  Pew is likely the most Left-leaning polling organization in the country. If they have it Romney +4, it may actually be +10.
• gut

  These analysts just in general...A week ago Repub turnout will be hurt because they don't think Romney can win. Now latest polls are going to help Obama because it's looking like he could lose.
  
  That's what you get with professional spin artists.
  
  As for the above poll, 20% think Obama won the debate? Let's not call them (and a similar % on the Repub side) absolute morons, but it does go to give an idea of people so deadset or enamored on a position/candidate that nothing anyone says or does can sway them.
• QuakerOats

  My my, look at the racist comments coming from the liberal left - blacks? - all because a black actress dared to endorse Mr. Romney.
  
  Where, oh where, is that tolerance that the Left is seemingly so fond of?
  
  http://www.theblaze.com/stories/twitter-explodes-after-black-actress-endorses-romney-as-the-only-choice-for-your-future/
• Ty Webb

  

  BGFalcons82;1290560 wrote:Holy shit, Batman! :thumbup:
  
  Pew is likely the most Left-leaning polling organization in the country. If they have it Romney +4, it may actually be +10.

  Gallup had the President up 5....
• Ty Webb

  

  Hmm....all 4 Republican pollsters and President Obama had made gains in every poll since the last :
  
  http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/10/08/latest_swing_state_polls.html#disqus_thread
• jhay78

  

  QuakerOats;1290577 wrote:My my, look at the racist comments coming from the liberal left - blacks? - all because a black actress dared to endorse Mr. Romney.
  
  Where, oh where, is that tolerance that the Left is seemingly so fond of?
  
  http://www.theblaze.com/stories/twitter-explodes-after-black-actress-endorses-romney-as-the-only-choice-for-your-future/

  The same place it was when they supported slavery, segregation, Jim Crow, etc. etc.
  
  Look at the most outlandish race-related comments from prominent politicians the past few years, and almost all came from the lips of Democrats- Reid, Clinton, Biden.
  
  It really does take courage to be black and not walk in step with liberalism.
• bases_loaded

  

  Signs don't vote, but I had to drive from Ohio to Roanoke, VA to Danville, VA and finally to Bristol, TN today and it was at least 5-1 Romney signs. I bet I saw more Sportsmen for Romney then actual Barry signs.
• gut

  I hope Ryan is ready for a Biden performance like what the liberal media keeps accusing Romney of. You know Biden has been getting an intensive crash course in Chicago politics, and Biden is well-suited to the Costanza model "it's not a lie if you believe it".