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justincredible

Honorable Admin

Tue, Mar 14, 2023 9:59 PM

Jokic screwed me tonight. Still broke even for the night, at least. Could end up winning a bit more.

Hit on 25+ for Bridges and SGA to double up.

justincredible

Honorable Admin

Tue, Mar 14, 2023 10:01 PM

Giddey needs to start scoring.

justincredible

Honorable Admin

Tue, Mar 14, 2023 10:28 PM
posted by justincredible

Giddey needs to start scoring.

Doubled up on Giddey 15/6/4 thanks to birddog.

friendfromlowry

Senior Member

Wed, Mar 15, 2023 12:36 AM

Salvaged an 0-2 start on an over Giannis and Lopez totals and under on Chris Paul points parlay. 

By the way, something I’ve been thinking about lately. I’ve had a lot of luck this season on betting the over on totals for Giannis, Embiid, and Jokic. But as the season starts to wind down and the MVP race between those three heats up, you know they’re going to be killing it every night. Jokic will want that third straight MVP, Embiid probably desperate for his first, and Giannis as always just super competitive. Not to mention the playoff seeding for their teams. Milwaukee and Denver want to stay on top of their conferences. Denver has been on a bit of a skid lately. Jokic still getting his numbers but Embiid and Giannis might smell blood in the water. That part may not be as significant though. 

birddog23

Senior Member

Wed, Mar 15, 2023 7:24 AM
posted by birddog23

Let's have a night.


Giddey 15/6/4 SGP1u
RJ Barret o 27.5 PR1.5u
Mississippi St ml (No Sweat)2u
Jokic Trip-Dub1u
Cavs -61u
NYK ml1u
Bridges 25pts
1u

Broke even on day for the 2nd straight day...

Disappointed Mississippi St couldn't pull it out last night and pissed at myself for not locking in Barrett earlier in the day at 26.5 (he of course finished with 27 points/rebounds).

Such is gambling....

birddog23

Senior Member

Wed, Mar 15, 2023 7:47 AM
posted by friendfromlowry

Salvaged an 0-2 start on an over Giannis and Lopez totals and under on Chris Paul points parlay. 

By the way, something I’ve been thinking about lately. I’ve had a lot of luck this season on betting the over on totals for Giannis, Embiid, and Jokic. But as the season starts to wind down and the MVP race between those three heats up, you know they’re going to be killing it every night. Jokic will want that third straight MVP, Embiid probably desperate for his first, and Giannis as always just super competitive. Not to mention the playoff seeding for their teams. Milwaukee and Denver want to stay on top of their conferences. Denver has been on a bit of a skid lately. Jokic still getting his numbers but Embiid and Giannis might smell blood in the water. That part may not be as significant though. 

I like this. I just locked in Embiid over 46.5 PRA for tonight. And Allen may be out for CLE too. He's averaging 37 points a game alone over his last 5 contests.

justincredible

Honorable Admin

Wed, Mar 15, 2023 9:50 AM

For you nerds using "units" as your betting increment, are you using any sort of spreadsheet template for tracking that stuff? I assume since you're copypasta'ing from google sheets you're tracking that way to some extent.

birddog23

Senior Member

Wed, Mar 15, 2023 10:05 AM
posted by justincredible

For you nerds using "units" as your betting increment, are you using any sort of spreadsheet template for tracking that stuff? I assume since you're copypasta'ing from google sheets you're tracking that way to some extent.

Yes. That.

I just have a column each day for amount won/amount lost. Then each week, I will add them up to see how things are going.

Laley23

GOAT

Wed, Mar 15, 2023 10:43 AM

My unit is $20. So I don’t really track (the apps do it all anyway). But when I post, I like to put that down so someone doesn’t drop a full $20 on some 300-1 long shot in golf haha. I’ll say .1 unit, because I’m likely only putting $2 bucks on the at person. 

birddog23

Senior Member

Wed, Mar 15, 2023 9:35 PM
posted by birddog23

I like this. I just locked in Embiid over 46.5 PRA for tonight. And Allen may be out for CLE too. He's averaging 37 points a game alone over his last 5 contests.

Embiid clears his line in 3rd QTR 


justincredible

Honorable Admin

Wed, Mar 15, 2023 10:01 PM

Big hitter. 

birddog23

Senior Member

Thu, Mar 16, 2023 8:44 AM
posted by justincredible

Big hitter. 


That is a nice one!

Laley23

GOAT

Thu, Mar 16, 2023 9:17 AM

Round Robin all these games. $.25 each. Total bets is around $140

justincredible

Honorable Admin

Thu, Mar 16, 2023 9:21 AM

Lordy, that's a lot of money on 25¢ bets. What's the possible payout?

Laley23

GOAT

Thu, Mar 16, 2023 9:47 AM
posted by justincredible

Lordy, that's a lot of money on 25¢ bets. What's the possible payout?

Just over $6k I believe.


justincredible

Honorable Admin

Thu, Mar 16, 2023 2:42 PM

Who has NBA bets I can tail or is everyone focused on March Madness right now?

justincredible

Honorable Admin

Thu, Mar 16, 2023 3:19 PM

I put $5 on the FanDuel boost for all the #1 seeds to win by 11+ at +200.

friendfromlowry

Senior Member

Thu, Mar 16, 2023 3:36 PM

I’m kind of reluctant on the overs for Jokic and Giannis. A lot of that Pacers lineup is questionable so could be ugly for them. Denver playing Detroit so could be similar situation with how bad they are. 

friendfromlowry

Senior Member

Thu, Mar 16, 2023 3:40 PM

Only two MM picks today (so far?): Virginia and Maryland overs which both lost and no overtime games. 

justincredible

Honorable Admin

Thu, Mar 16, 2023 4:09 PM

1u Fred VanVleet Over 19.5 PTS
1u Jaden Ivey Under 18.5 PTS

Also did the following parlays:

.1u

Michael Porter Jr 5+ Threes
Fred VanVleet 5+ Threes
Dorian Finney-Smith 3+ Threes

.25u

Michael Porter Jr 4+ Threes
Fred VanVleet 4+ Threes
Dorian Finney-Smith 3+ Threes

.5u

Michael Porter Jr 3+ Threes
Fred VanVleet 3+ Threes
Dorian Finney-Smith 2+ Threes

Is that considered a ladder? It's my first time trying a bet like this.

And to clarify on units, that's 1% of your available funds, right? So it goes up or down based on how much you win and lose? Or do you just use a fixed number regardless of your bankroll?

justincredible

Honorable Admin

Thu, Mar 16, 2023 4:19 PM

I'd like to do another straight bet or two but the data sheets I've seen on twitter today aren't super helpful.

My next best play I'm considering is Sabonis Over 13.5 REB at +104. 

QuakerOats

Senior Member

Thu, Mar 16, 2023 4:57 PM

Have Schenk to be Round 1 leader at the Valspar at +8500, currently tied for the lead.  $1 bet could be $86; current offer is $23.60; 7 holes to play.

justincredible

Honorable Admin

Thu, Mar 16, 2023 5:05 PM
posted by QuakerOats

Have Schenk to be Round 1 leader at the Valspar at +8500, currently tied for the lead.  $1 bet could be $86; current offer is $23.60; 7 holes to play.

Dang, I'd probably cash out but hope he holds on for you if you let it ride. I have no PGA bets this week.

QuakerOats

Senior Member

Thu, Mar 16, 2023 5:27 PM

Also have same bet with Fleetwood; he is 1 shot back and may be about to tie for the lead; +3800 

friendfromlowry

Senior Member

Thu, Mar 16, 2023 5:29 PM
posted by justincredible

I'd like to do another straight bet or two but the data sheets I've seen on twitter today aren't super helpful.

My next best play I'm considering is Sabonis Over 13.5 REB at +104. 

I was going to say >13.5 rebounds seems steep but he’s done it nearly 50% last 12 games or so. And Brooklyn not a great rebounding team.