Two polls show President Obama

• BGFalcons82

  

  Ty Webb;570051 wrote:http://politicalwire.com/archives/2010/11/21/early_forecast_shows_obama_headed_for_win.html
  
  Yale economist Ray C. Fair has updated his forecast and says that based on the facts at hand right now, President Obama is likely to win the 2012 election in a landslide.
  
  Fair tells the New York Times that there "is considerable data behind his election prediction, using his econometric models. One produces a forecast for the overall, or macro, economy, while another uses economic inputs to forecast the national popular vote. At the moment, he says, the data augurs well for the president."
  
  Said Fair: "The model certainly suggests that if the economy is good and improving as an election approaches, it's very difficult to defeat an incumbent president

  
  Hey...I think you've come across a huge way to save lots of money and help turn our economy around. This is a great idea you have, Ty. You should forward this to the US Congress, the League of Women Voters, and the Presidential Council on Elections and tell them to cancel the 2012 Presidential election. Since it is impossible to prove Mr. Fair wrong, why waste the money and efforts? Tweet Barry and tell him he's good until 2016...he'll be thrilled to know he doesn't have to run, just show up. Good work, dude.
• ptown_trojans_1

  

  Ty Webb;570092 wrote:The same guys said in May 2007 that he would win in 2008

  
  And?
  What about 2004, 2000, etc?
  What will his model say in May, 2011?
  
  It is nearly impossible to construct a workable, valid model this far in advance as there are so many variables he would have to control.
• jhay78

  

  Ty Webb;570051 wrote:http://politicalwire.com/archives/2010/11/21/early_forecast_shows_obama_headed_for_win.html
  
  Yale economist Ray C. Fair has updated his forecast and says that based on the facts at hand right now, President Obama is likely to win the 2012 election in a landslide.
  
  Fair tells the New York Times that there "is considerable data behind his election prediction, using his econometric models. One produces a forecast for the overall, or macro, economy, while another uses economic inputs to forecast the national popular vote. At the moment, he says, the data augurs well for the president."
  
  Said Fair: "The model certainly suggests that if the economy is good and improving as an election approaches, it's very difficult to defeat an incumbent president

  ptown_trojans_1;570077 wrote:It's still 2010, trying to predict November, 2012 makes no sense.
  There are an infinite amount of things or events that can happen to radically change any outlook.

  
  Don't forget- ACORN is not doing well financially- they declared bankruptcy recently. That means there won't be as many dead people, Disney characters, etc. voting in 2012
• ptown_trojans_1

  

  jhay78;570839 wrote:Don't forget- ACORN is not doing well financially- they declared bankruptcy recently. That means there won't be as many dead people, Disney characters, etc. voting in 2012

  
  Considering those probably did not make much of a difference in the 2008 vote, I doubt it will be that big a deal.
• ptown_trojans_1

  

  Again, as she was on the weekly talk shows talking about New START (which needs ratified) Hilliary quashed again any rumor she is running in 2012. I honestly think she enjoys being SECSTATE more than she would enjoy being President as she is away from all the political bickering and BS. Plus, she gets to travel a lot more and deal with real substance. Hell, I'd take SECSTATE over the Prez myself.
  
  http://www.politico.com/blogs/politicolive/1110/Clinton_wont_run_in_2012__or_ever.html
  I'd be floored if she ran.
• Ty Webb

  

  Huckabee Thinks Beating Obama Will Be Tough
  Mike Huckabee told ABC's The View that many Republicans are underestimating President Obama.
  
  Said Huckabee: "I think it's going to be harder to beat Barack Obama than a lot of Republicans are thinking because he is the president, he's going to have a billion dollars starting out in his war chest, there is an extraordinary advantage of an incumbent. And I'll tell you something else people don't think about: a divided government is good for the executive branch."
  
  He added: "When the executive and the legislative branches fight, the executive always wins."
  
  http://politicalwire.com/archives/2010/11/22/huckabee_thinks_beating_obama_will_be_tough.html
• BGFalcons82

  

  Ty Webb;571062 wrote:Huckabee Thinks Beating Obama Will Be Tough
  Mike Huckabee told ABC's The View that many Republicans are underestimating President Obama.
  
  Said Huckabee: "I think it's going to be harder to beat Barack Obama than a lot of Republicans are thinking because he is the president, he's going to have a billion dollars starting out in his war chest, there is an extraordinary advantage of an incumbent. And I'll tell you something else people don't think about: a divided government is good for the executive branch."
  
  He added: "When the executive and the legislative branches fight, the executive always wins."
  
  http://politicalwire.com/archives/2010/11/22/huckabee_thinks_beating_obama_will_be_tough.html

  Oh no...it can't be right...Mr Fair said it was all over but the 2nd annointing....Quinnipiac is challenging you, Ty!! http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1295.xml?ReleaseID=1538
  
  Romney leads Obama!! Shocking I say!
• Ty Webb

  

  Yea,and if you care to read the entire thing you will see the last poll they did had him down by 8 to Romney....now he's only down one! Hmmm....
  
  Also,says Palin would win the primary...God please let that happen
• BGFalcons82

  

  Ty Webb;571429 wrote:Yea,and if you care to read the entire thing you will see the last poll they did had him down by 8 to Romney....now he's only down one! Hmmm....

  
  How can that be? You've been spouting off on here about how much Obama has been dominating the field and no one even comes close...now you're saying he was down 8 in the last poll? Are you having selective polling issues, Ty? My advice is to stay with Rasmussen, which you quoted earlier.
• ptown_trojans_1

  

  BGFalcons82;571649 wrote:How can that be? You've been spouting off on here about how much Obama has been dominating the field and no one even comes close...now you're saying he was down 8 in the last poll? Are you having selective polling issues, Ty? My advice is to stay with Rasmussen, which you quoted earlier.

  
  Or none since it is still 2010.
• fish82

  

  ptown_trojans_1;571717 wrote:Or none since it is still 2010.

  Indeed.