We've got a few weeks left to go, and a lot of shuffling to still occur, but this could be a fun exercise.

AFC
1. Baltimore Ravens - 13-3
2. Kansas City Chiefs - 12-4
3. New England Patriots - 12-4
4. Houston Texans - 10-6
5. Buffalo Bills - 11-5
6. Pittsburgh Steelers - 9-7 or Tennessee Titans - 9-7 (not sure who wins the tiebreaker here, I have both sitting with the same div and conf records)

Pats over Steelers/Titans
Bills over Texans

Ravens over Bills
Chiefs over Pats

Ravens over Chiefs

NFC
1. San Francisco 49ers - 13-3
2. New Orleans Saints - 13-3
3. Green Bay Packers - 12-4
4. Philadelphia Eagles - 8-8
5. Seattle Seahawks - 12-4
6. Minnesota Vikings - 11-5

Vikings over Packers
Seahawks over Eagles

49ers over Vikings
Saints over Seahawks

Saints over 49ers

Saints over Ravens

Dolphins squeak in and shock the world.

posted by ernest_t_bass

Dolphins squeak in and shock the world.

AFC

1) Ravens 13-3

2) Patriots 13-3

3) Chiefs 12-4

4) Titans 10-6

5) Bills 11-5

6) Browns 9-7

 

Browns over Chiefs

Titans over Bills

 

Browns over Ravens

Patriots over Titans

 

Browns over Patriots

 

NFC

1) Saints 13-3

2) Seahawks 13-3

3) Packers 12-4

4) Cowboys 8-8

5) 49ers 13-3

6) Vikings 12-4

 

Packers over Vikings

49ers over Cowboys

 

Saints over 49ers

Seahawks over Packers

 

Saints over Seahawks

 

Browns over Saints

posted by Al Bundy

AFC

1) Ravens 13-3

2) Patriots 13-3

3) Chiefs 12-4

4) Titans 10-6

5) Bills 11-5

6) Browns 9-7

 

Browns over Chiefs

Titans over Bills

 

Browns over Ravens

Patriots over Titans

 

Browns over Patriots

 

NFC

1) Saints 13-3

2) Seahawks 13-3

3) Packers 12-4

4) Cowboys 8-8

5) 49ers 13-3

6) Vikings 12-4

 

Packers over Vikings

49ers over Cowboys

 

Saints over 49ers

Seahawks over Packers

 

Saints over Seahawks

 

Browns over Saints

I like Al Bundy’s picks. 

posted by justincredible

We've got a few weeks left to go, and a lot of shuffling to still occur, but this could be a fun exercise.

AFC
1. Baltimore Ravens - 13-3
2. Kansas City Chiefs - 12-4
3. New England Patriots - 12-4
4. Houston Texans - 10-6
5. Buffalo Bills - 11-5
6. Pittsburgh Steelers - 9-7 or Tennessee Titans - 9-7 (not sure who wins the tiebreaker here, I have both sitting with the same div and conf records)

Pats over Steelers/Titans
Bills over Texans

Ravens over Bills
Chiefs over Pats

Ravens over Chiefs

NFC
1. San Francisco 49ers - 13-3
2. New Orleans Saints - 13-3
3. Green Bay Packers - 12-4
4. Philadelphia Eagles - 8-8
5. Seattle Seahawks - 12-4
6. Minnesota Vikings - 11-5

Vikings over Packers
Seahawks over Eagles

49ers over Vikings
Saints over Seahawks

Saints over 49ers

Saints over Ravens

i believe it goes like this:

1st tiebreaker is head to head (doesn't apply to Pittsburgh and Tennessee)

2nd tiebreaker is division record

3rd tiebreaker is conference record

4th tiebreaker is record against common opponents (In your case - Browns, Colts, Bills, Chargers) Right now - Pittsburgh is 3-1 (with 1 game left against the Bills) and Tennessee is 3-2 against those teams

posted by j_crazy

i believe it goes like this:

1st tiebreaker is head to head (doesn't apply to Pittsburgh and Tennessee)

2nd tiebreaker is division record

3rd tiebreaker is conference record

4th tiebreaker is record against common opponents (In your case - Browns, Colts, Bills, Chargers) Right now - Pittsburgh is 3-1 (with 1 game left against the Bills) and Tennessee is 3-2 against those teams

Got it. I have Pitt losing to Buffalo, so both will be 3-2 against common opponents. Strength of schedule up next?

I think at 9-7 PIT would have had the tie-breaker over TEN based on conference record, if one of those losses had been to ARI.

As it stands now, I think they lose the tiebreaker at 9-7 (assuming they lose to either BUF or BAL).  There's a playoff generator out there somewhere that's usually been really accurate.

I think they'll be at least 10-6, partially because I assume they get BAL second string in Wk17.

I ran through the rest of the season here:

http://www.espn.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

 

TEN and PIT both at 9-7. TEN is in.

posted by justincredible

Got it. I have Pitt losing to Buffalo, so both will be 3-2 against common opponents. Strength of schedule up next?

lol i have no clue what the next tiebreaker is. 

posted by justincredible

I ran through the rest of the season here:

http://www.espn.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

 

TEN and PIT both at 9-7. TEN is in.

It depends upon who you have Tennessee beating. If their win is against the saints, Steelers would have better conference record.

Strength of victory actually comes before strength of schedule in the tie-breakers.

On the latter, I laughed when I realized they use the record of teams you lost to in determining playoff seeding.  Seems like maybe that should be all the way down the list, only ahead of the coin flip.

My predictions:

AFC
1. Baltimore Ravens - 13-3
2. New England Patriots - 12-4
3. Houston Texans - 11-5
4. Kansas City Chiefs - 11-5
5. Buffalo Bills - 12-4
6. Pittsburgh Steelers - 9-7 

Texans over Steelers
Bills over Chiefs

Ravens over Bills
Texans over Pats

Texans over Ravens

NFC
1. San Francisco 49ers - 14-2
2. New Orleans Saints - 13-3
3. Green Bay Packers - 12-4
4. Dallas Cowboys - 9-7
5. Seattle Seahawks - 12-4
6. Minnesota Vikings - 12-4

Packers over Vikings
Seahawks over Cowboys

49ers over Seahawks
Saints over Vikings

49ers over Saints

49ers over Texans

posted by Al Bundy

It depends upon who you have Tennessee beating. If their win is against the saints, Steelers would have better conference record.

I do not have Tennessee beating the Saints. I assume the ESPN link I ran through did not calculate the final seeding incorrectly.

posted by justincredible

I do not have Tennessee beating the Saints. I assume the ESPN link I ran through did not calculate the final seeding incorrectly.

The ESPN playoff machine is great. It is fun to try different things. In some cases when it comes down to strength of schedule, almost every game on the schedule matters if the records are close.

AFC

1.Ravens 

2. Patriots

3. KC 

4. Texans

5. Bills

6. Steelers

Chiefs over Steelers

Texans over Bills

Ravens over Texans

Pats over Chiefs

Ravens over Pats (GOAT kicks 57 yd GW)

 

NFC

1. 49ers

2. Saints

3. Packers

4. Cowboys

5. Seahawks

6. Vikings

Vikings over Packers

Seahawks over Cowboys

49ers over Vikings

Saints over Seahawks

49ers over Saints 34-31

 

49ers over Ravens 31-17