I'm sure this will end-up being lame, but definitely curious to see this.  Secretariat still has all 3 track records, so not sure how he doesn't win (which is why it's a safe bet he won't).  Note that Secretariat DID lose 3 times as a 3 year old.

https://www.startribune.com/virtual-kentucky-derby-secretariat-is-favorite-in-race-of-13-triple-crown-winners/570116231/

" Secretariat is the morning line favorite at 7-2. But the 1973 champion is not seen as a virtual lock, with Whirlaway (1941) at 4-1, Seattle Slew (1977) at 5-1 and American Pharoah (2015) at 6-1. "

American Pharoah is an interesting pick, and probably the only other horse that most people are familiar with.  If the production quality is well done, should be a fun thing to watch.

I thought Citation was at 4 – 1  ??

Hard to go against Secretariat although are they looking at this as a standalone race (just factoring in Derby performances), or are they taking all three races into consideration?  If you count the spectacular Belmont performance, Secretariat wins going away.  Otherwise, I might lay a few bucks on Affirmed.

Let me know how many lengths Secretariat (the original social distancing icon) wins by.

Secretariat's odds maybe somewhere around 25%, with about 5 others (including American Pharoah) around 12%.  Puts the rest of the field around 15%.

Like I said, Secretariat was beat 3X that year.  And American Pharoah was the only horse to win the Breeders cup (wasn't around the last time a horse won the TC), which is a super impressive win.

Apparently they came up with odds based on the horse's career, along with input from experts.  From there it's a sim based on those odds.  Not exactly sure how they do that - I think they take one run at random otherwise your representative sample should = the odds of each horse.

I'll box Pharaoh - Secretariat - Affirmed.

Secretariat doesn’t win, it’s a massive upset. He still holds the track record at Churchill for that distance, nearly 50 years later.

His losses that year came when he was sick (also a horrible run by the jockey), entered into a race as a replacement when another horse couldn’t handle conditions and finally, when he had an issue/infection in his mouth where he couldn’t take the bit. The last one is an excuse, the other 2 are legit reasons and if money wasn’t so heavily involved he wouldn’t have ever raced in them.

American Pharoah being so high in the odds makes no sense. He wasn’t a great horse by historical measures. Justify is way better, if talking the recent TC winners.

• Secretariat for the win 
• Tri-Box Secretariat/Justify/Affirmed.
• Tri-Box Key Secretariat over Justify/Affirmed/Citation/Whirlaway
• Super-Wheel Secretariat/Affirmed/Justify for Win/Place, wheel rest

In honor of this, figured I’d remind everyone of this great moment in TV history

posted by Heretic

Let me know how many lengths Secretariat (the original social distancing icon) wins by.

Secretariat won by a head –

The race results are as follows:

• WIN: Secretariat (1973)
• PLACE: Citation (1948)
• SHOW: Seattle Slew (1977) 4 - Affirmed (1978) 5 - American Pharoah (2015) 6 - Whirlaway (1941) 7 - Count Fleet (1943) 8 - Justify (2018) 9 - Assault (1946) 10 - War Admiral (1937) 11 - Omaha (1935) 12 - Gallant Fox (1930)