Reds prediction thread

• justincredible

  

  Post your predictions for the following categories. Feel free to add any other categories as well.
  
  Record:
  Place:
  Final series played in:
  
  Award winners:
  (MVP, CY, GG, SS, ROY)
  
  Cueto wins:
  Cueto ERA:
  
  Latos wins:
  Latos ERA:
  
  Arroyo wins:
  Arroyo ERA:
  
  Leake wins:
  Leake ERA:
  
  Bailey wins:
  Bailey ERA:
  
  Madson saves:
  Madson ERA:
  
  Bullpen ERA:
  
  Votto HR:
  Votto RBI:
  Votto AVG:
  
  Bruce HR:
  Bruce RBI:
  Bruce AVG:
  
  Phillips HR:
  Phillips RBI:
  Phillips AVG:
  
  Stubbs HR:
  Stubbs RBI:
  Stubbs AVG:
  Stubbs K:
  Stubbs bunt hits:
  
  Cozart HR:
  Cozart RBI:
  Cozart AVG:
  
  Mesoraco HR:
  Mesoraco RBI:
  Mesoraco AVG:
  
  Rolen HR:
  Rolen RBI:
  Rolen AVG:
  Rolen starts:
• hasbeen

  

  Stubbs K: 178
• hasbeen

  

  But I think they'll take the division.
• Mooney44Cards

  

  Record: 94-68
  Place: 1st
  Final series played in: NLCS
  
  Award winners: Cueto-CY, Phillips-GG&SS, Votto-GG&SS
  (MVP, CY, GG, SS, ROY)
  
  Cueto wins: 24
  Cueto ERA: 2.27
  
  Latos wins: 16
  Latos ERA: 3.42
  
  Arroyo wins: 14
  Arroyo ERA: 4.10
  
  Leake wins: 16
  Leake ERA: 3.24
  
  Bailey wins: 15
  Bailey ERA: 3.57
  
  Madson saves: 38
  Madson ERA: 2.62
  
  Bullpen ERA: 2.58
  
  Votto HR: 38
  Votto RBI: 135
  Votto AVG: .322
  
  Bruce HR: 45
  Bruce RBI: 116
  Bruce AVG: .289
  
  Phillips HR: 19
  Phillips RBI: 74
  Phillips AVG: .292
  
  Stubbs HR: 24
  Stubbs RBI: 90
  Stubbs AVG: .269
  Stubbs K: 185
  Stubbs bunt hits: 10
  
  Cozart HR: 18
  Cozart RBI: 72
  Cozart AVG: .287
  
  Mesoraco HR: 16
  Mesoraco RBI: 49
  Mesoraco AVG: .244
  
  Rolen HR: 18
  Rolen RBI: 75
  Rolen AVG: .280
  Rolen starts: 110
• dave

  Mooney, if those stats are true they will win 110 games. Hope you are right.
• zach24oz

  Man those offensive stats are crazy! Cozart hitting 18hrs, Bruce 45, and Cueto with 24 Ws? I hope some of that could come true but there's no way...
• Mooney44Cards

  

  zach24oz;1106196 wrote:Man those offensive stats are crazy! Cozart hitting 18hrs, Bruce 45, and Cueto with 24 Ws? I hope some of that could come true but there's no way...

  I am truly an optimist. Bruce hitting 45 is slightly crazy, but if he could put it together he could do it easily. Lets not forget he hit 32 last year but had long streaks where he couldn't hit shit.
  
  Cueto winning 24 is pretty crazy, but as you can see I have him winning the Cy Young as well. I think it could happen, but only if he stays healthy.
  
  I'm not sure what's crazy about Cozart hitting 18 HRs? I mean the dude has pop. Fan Graphs projects 13....I don't think 5 more than that is out of the realm of possibility. It all depends on if his elbow is 100%. And if he is batting around .287 Dusty would have no choice but to play him a lot, so its possible.
  
  I think this offense is going to be a juggernaut this year. They should easily score the most runs in the NL (if everyone is healthy of course) and the more runs they score the more wins our starting pitchers will get. Especially since the bullpen on paper is solid as hell.
  
  So yeah, I think my stats should of course be taken with a grain of salt, but its not like I'm projecting anything that is hugely unrealistic for any one player. Its just doubtful that they would ALL be that good at once. But hey....if they get on a roll early and they start winning a lot of games they could certainly all put it together.
• Ironman92

  

  86-76
  
  Votto
  
  .322 36 HR, 32 2B, 116 RBI, 114 Runs, 2nd MVP Voting
  
  Homer Bailey 8-9 172 innings
  
  Bruce .267, 29 HR, 87 RBI
  Stubbs 181 K
  
  Phillips....major blow up of some sort
  
  Dusty Baker will suck.
• gerb131

  

  I don't know but this is the most I've looked forward to a Reds season in quite a long time.
  I just hope Arroyo can return to some kind of form and Madsen is the answer at closer.
• justincredible

  

  dave;1106175 wrote:Mooney, if those stats are true they will win 110 games. Hope you are right.

  Yeah, that was my thought as well. I thought I was an optimist.
• justincredible

  

  My "bold" prediction is that the 5 starters we break camp with will all win 12+ games. Cueto, Latos, Leake, Bailey, and Arroyo. Chapman will tear up in AAA and they will deal him near the deadline for a legit ML bat.
• justincredible

  

  Record: 95-67
  Place: 1st
  Final series played in: WS
  
  Award winners: Phillips - GG & SS, Votto - GG & SS, Bruce - GG & SS, Leake - SS, Mesoraco - ROY, Votto - MVP
  (MVP, CY, GG, SS, ROY)
  
  Cueto wins: 15
  Cueto ERA: 3.50
  
  Latos wins: 17
  Latos ERA: 3.40
  
  Arroyo wins: 12
  Arroyo ERA: 4.10
  
  Leake wins: 15
  Leake ERA: 3.60
  
  Bailey wins: 13
  Bailey ERA: 3.90
  
  Madson saves: 41
  Madson ERA: 2.40
  
  Bullpen ERA: 2.70
  
  Votto HR: 37
  Votto RBI: 112
  Votto AVG: .319
  
  Bruce HR: 40
  Bruce RBI: 120
  Bruce AVG: .279
  
  Phillips HR: 17
  Phillips RBI: 81
  Phillips AVG: .298
  
  Stubbs HR: 24
  Stubbs RBI: 89
  Stubbs AVG: .271
  Stubbs K: 181
  Stubbs bunt hits: 4
  
  Cozart HR: 16
  Cozart RBI: 70
  Cozart AVG: .283
  
  Mesoraco HR: 19
  Mesoraco RBI: 62
  Mesoraco AVG: .279
  
  Rolen HR: 15
  Rolen RBI: 60
  Rolen AVG: .280
  Rolen starts: 90
• karen lotz

  

  I don't see how they lose more than 3 or 4 games.
• justincredible

  

  karen lotz;1106918 wrote:I don't see how they lose more than 3 or 4 games.

  
  Indeed.
• Azubuike24

  

  Record: 92-70
  Place: 1st, NL Central
  Final series played in: World Series
  
  Award winners: Joey Votto (1st NL MVP), Zack Cozart (2nd NL ROY), Brandon Phillips, Joey Votto, Jay Bruce (gold gloves), Johnny Cueto (4th NL CY), Mat Latos (8th NL CY)
  
  Cueto wins: 19
  Cueto ERA: 2.91
  
  Latos wins: 17
  Latos ERA: 3.26
  
  Arroyo wins: 12
  Arroyo ERA: 4.86
  
  Leake wins: 13
  Leake ERA: 3.95
  
  Bailey wins: 15
  Bailey ERA: 3.82
  
  Madson saves: 42
  Madson ERA: 2.18
  
  Bullpen ERA: 3.14
  
  Votto HR: 42
  Votto RBI: 125
  Votto AVG: .326
  
  Bruce HR: 41
  Bruce RBI: 110
  Bruce AVG: .276
  
  Phillips HR: 19
  Phillips RBI: 89
  Phillips AVG: .289
  
  Stubbs HR: 21
  Stubbs RBI: 77
  Stubbs AVG: .281
  Stubbs K: 169
  Stubbs bunt hits: 26
  
  Cozart HR: 18
  Cozart RBI: 84
  Cozart AVG: .296
  
  Mesoraco HR: 25
  Mesoraco RBI: 76
  Mesoraco AVG: .261
  
  Rolen HR: 18
  Rolen RBI: 64
  Rolen AVG: .274
  Rolen starts: 95
• Commander of Awesome

  

  justincredible;1106914 wrote:Record: 95-67
  

  Want to bet on the win total again for this season?
• justincredible

  

  Commander of Awesome;1107003 wrote:Want to bet on the win total again for this season?

  I'll bet, but only on 90 wins.
• Commander of Awesome

  

  justincredible;1107006 wrote:I'll bet, but only on 90 wins.

  How about Avatar bet from when the reds win 91 games, or mathematically can't win 91 games until WS?
• justincredible

  

  Commander of Awesome;1107010 wrote:How about Avatar bet from when the reds win 91 games, or mathematically can't win 91 games until WS?

  That works for me. Through the WS.
• SportsAndLady

  

  justincredible;1107019 wrote:That works for me. Through the WS.

  Don't make my mistake and agree on a length that is 8,000 months long
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
• justincredible

  

  SportsAndLady;1107021 wrote:Don't make my mistake and agree on a length that is 8,000 months long
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  

  lol, what did you agree to? And with who?
• Commander of Awesome

  

  justincredible;1107019 wrote:That works for me. Through the WS.

  Done.
• SportsAndLady

  

  justincredible;1107028 wrote:lol, what did you agree to? And with who?

  With fuckin tobias
  OSU or ND to win more games
  
  Til the spring game...the fuckin spring game
• justincredible

  

  That isn't 8,000 months away.
• Commander of Awesome

  

  justincredible;1107054 wrote:That isn't 8,000 months away.

  give or take a few months obv. Its closer than -8345 months away.