What are the ODDS of OSU making the Final Four Game?

• rydawg5

  If you were an oddsmaker, what would you make it?
  
  You will have to consider that 4 of the 64 teams will make it (1/16) (Not saying everytime would have this, just a starting point. Some teams will be 1,000 to 1 odds)
  
  The top 32 teams are the only ones with close to a realistic shot (4/32) = 1/8
  
  The top 16 are probably 3/1 favorites over the bottom 16 , that would have a 3/16 shot. Two of the top 8 will probably make it. That would give them a 1/4 shot. With 1 more loss factored in, I would give set their odds at a conservative 5 to 1 shot.
  
  OSU's official over/under - 5 to 1 (Spend 5 bucks, get back 25 if they make it)
• Laley23

  

  Id go 9/1 right now.
  
  Cuse is probably at a 3/1
  UK and KU at 4/1
  Duke is at 6/1
• rydawg5

  Laley23 wrote: Id go 9/1 right now.
  
  Cuse is probably at a 3/1
  UK and KU at 4/1
  Duke is at 6/1

  My logic is probably very flawed, but I like the 5/1 bet (maybe 6/1)
• Laley23

  

  rydawg5 wrote:
  
  My logic is probably very flawed, but I like the 5/1 bet (maybe 6/1)

  Well looking over the teams, 9/1 may to too high. maybe a 15/2 is closer. I do not think, without a #1 seed, they have any shot at being 5/1 or better. In fact, only three teams have a chance at odds that good imo (Syracuse, UK, and KU).
  
  I wouldnt put it pas Vegas to overrank the Big East and give OSU similar odds to WVU and Villanova even though OSU is better than both.
• thedynasty1998

  

  I'm sure that you could find the odds out there somewhere.
  
  I don't know the logic of how they set the odds, but I'd think OSU would be like 15/1. Not sure how I came up with that.
  
  I just think that Kentucky, Kansas and Syracuse are all heavy favorites for the Final 4 and then there are a handful of teams who are in that second tier for the last spot (Duke, Villanova, Georgetown and maybe WVU.
  
  Then I think their is a 3rd tier, which consists of OSU, Michigan St., Purdue and some of the other teams in the top 15.
  
  I think OSU is capable of beating anyone if they get all 5 starters to play well together. But in most games it's been 2-3 that play well and the other 2 don't show up. I think OSU is a legit Elite 8 team, and a Final 4 appearance would be a surprise to many.
• rydawg5

  What team do you think would be the best "bang for your buck"?
• Laley23

  

  rydawg5 wrote: What team do you think would be the best "bang for your buck"?

  I usually try to bet on about 4 teams in the 15-20/1 range hoping for the big pay-out. Ive done it for 5 years and hit on 2 of them. Take that for what its worth.
• Laley23

  

  Just checked their odds (albeit to win the whole thing right now) and OSU is at 15/1.
  
  KU was at 2/1
  Syracuse at 5/1
  UK at 4/1
  Nova at 8/1
  Texas at 13/1 (WHAT!!!!)
  W. Virginia at 18/1
  Michigan St. at 18/1
  Duke at 14/1
• ytownfootball

  

  I did a quick search of Tourney odds and found nothing of interest other than games still on the schedule. I doubt there will be anything worth looking at until the field is announced.
  
  OSU at 9-1 seems a little high I would imagine, 15-2 sounds a lot closer to me. Odds makers will look at their depth as an issue.
• ytownfootball

  

  15-1 to win the whole thing?
  
  That's a lot better than I would have imagined...
• lhslep134

  

  I made a 5/1 bet at the beginning of the year with my friend for $5 (to win $25) I took Kentucky he took the field.
  
  That's probably the only betting I'll take a part in haha.
• thedynasty1998

  

  Although Texas' odds are pretty favorable for them, I understand it. They are as talented as almost any team in the country, but just don't play well together. Maybe the odds makers think once they have a sense of urgency to them, they can get it together.
• ZombieKiller

  18/1
• RiverRat13

  thedynasty1998 wrote: Although Texas' odds are pretty favorable for them, I understand it. They are as talented as almost any team in the country, but just don't play well together. Maybe the odds makers think once they have a sense of urgency to them, they can get it together.

  *cough**cough* Rick Barnes *cough**cough*
• BigAppleBuckeye

  

  Well actually, using this logic, its a 4 out of 65 chance, not 64.
  
  Another way to look at it, after 4 games, only these scenarios are possible for OSU:
  
  *OSU 0-1
  *OSU 1-1
  *OSU 2-1
  *OSU 3-1
  *OSU 4-0
  
  So, using that admittedly-flawed mathmetically logic, OSU indeed does have a 1 in 5 chance ... but so would a #16 seed!
  
  All kidding aside, lets assume OSU is a #2 seed. They would be favored to win their first three games, and likely an underdog in the 4th game. Because 4 wins are needed, the odds are most pertinent in the 4th game, assuming OSU wins the first three. I think if OSU played Syracuse, they would win 3 times out of every 10 that they played. Throw in the potential of a stumble in the first three rounds, and I actually think 5-1, or maybe something like 7-1 odds make sense here.
• rydawg5

  Actually 64, they are in a tourny of 64 teams. There is a play in game to get in the tourny. I don't consider that being in the tourny.
• Footwedge

  Pretty good. OSU will be a 2 seed. 2 seeds make the final 4 a lot of the time.
• UA5straightin2008

  

  if osu wins the big 10 tourney, could they be a 1 seed?
• Laley23

  

  UA5straightin2008 wrote: if osu wins the big 10 tourney, could they be a 1 seed?

  Yes, but it wont be without help. They do NOT control their own destiny.
  
  Syracuse, KU, UK and Duke all control their fate for a #1 seed right now.
• Footwedge

  I have Buckeyes at 3 to 1 in making final 4. They have almost a fifty fifty chance to get to the elite 8, and then will be slight underdogs in the regional title game.
  
  I might take a flyer at 15 to 1 payoff.