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NCAA Tournament Spreads, Pools, Gambling Discussion Thread

  • Azubuike24
    Just browsing some first round spreads and a few surprised me. Based on opening lines...

    Iowa State -1.5 over Connecticut (not a lot of respect to UConn)
    Murray State -2.5 over Colorado State (I think Murray is a bit undervalued here)
    Xavier +3 vs Notre Dame (Hard to go against X getting 3)
    Belmont +7 vs Georgetown (Not liking G-Town having to win by that margin)
    St. Mary's +1 vs Purdue (Definitely like SMC here)

    Other thoughts?

    If people have pools they are doing I figured they can post them here too.
  • Mulva
    I completely agree on Murray State and St. Mary's. I don't actually think the Racers are that good, but Colorado State is brutal away from home.

    I like Iona at +2 in the play-in against BYU, and Cal -3 over South Florida.

    I'm seeing UConn at -2 over Iowa State and Georgetown only -3 over Belmont (Bookmaker and Legends). Not sure whether the lines have already changed that quickly.
  • Azubuike24
    That was the first line I saw on ISU. We'll see what comes out tomorrow...it doesn't look right just based on the numbers.
  • gorocks99
    Kenpom.com has his log5 analysis up, for those interested: http://kenpom.com/blog/index.php/weblog/ncaa_tourney_log5/
  • Manhattan Buckeye
    Has Notre Dame done anything in the tournament for years? I'm surprised Xavier isn't favored.
  • reclegend22
    Manhattan Buckeye;1113721 wrote:Has Notre Dame done anything in the tournament for years? I'm surprised Xavier isn't favored.
    I think Derwin Kitchen of Florida State is still hitting jump shots on Notre Dame. The Seminoles are up by like 13,000 now.

    To answer your question, though, 2003 was the last time Notre Dame played into the second week of the NCAAs.
  • Cleveland Buck
    gorocks99;1113719 wrote:Kenpom.com has his log5 analysis up, for those interested: http://kenpom.com/blog/index.php/weblog/ncaa_tourney_log5/
    1. Kentucky 19.5% 1 in 5
    2. Ohio State 18.7% 1 in 5
    3. Michigan State 12.2% 1 in 8
    4. North Carolina 9.3% 1 in 11
    5. Kansas 8.6% 1 in 12
    6. Missouri 5.2% 1 in 19
    7. Syracuse 4.3% 1 in 23
    8. Wisconsin 4.0% 1 in 25
    9. Wichita State 2.5% 1 in 40
    10. Indiana 1.7% 1 in 60
  • ytownfootball
    Yeah saw that UK is at 5-2 and Ohio State is at 6-1. The Vegas love for Ohio State really surprised me.

    http://content.usatoday.com/communities/campusrivalry/post/2012/03/kentucky-ncaa-title-jeff-sagarin-simulation/1#.T15UDnmwctB
  • gorocks99
    It's interesting that Memphis has the third best odds of winning out of the West, while Belmont (the computers love the Bruins) are 5th best in the Midwest. Struggling on picking the Bruins over G'town though .. got burned on them last year when I picked them over Wisconsin.
  • Iliketurtles
    Belmont is down to a +4 already lol. Xavier is down to a +2.5 as well.

    I put a lot of money on Murray State at -4 and Creighton at +1.5 I also put some money on the playin games and FSU at -7 and Loyola Maryland at +17.5. Also got 5 bucks on Murray State and Florida State to win it all just cause I really liked their odds.
  • Mulva
    gorocks99;1113802 wrote:Struggling on picking the Bruins over G'town though .. got burned on them last year when I picked them over Wisconsin.
    That's maybe the toughest pick for me, because I think Belmont is better than San Diego State/NC State. It's either knock them out in round 1, or seriously consider putting them all the way into the elite 8.
  • khujo
    Iliketurtles;1114027 wrote:Belmont is down to a +4 already lol. Xavier is down to a +2.5 as well.

    I put a lot of money on Murray State at -4 and Creighton at +1.5 I also put some money on the playin games and FSU at -7 and Loyola Maryland at +17.5. Also got 5 bucks on Murray State and Florida State to win it all just cause I really liked their odds.
    Did you put these in online? If so what site and how are you depositing?

    I've been having a hell of a time trying to get deposits to go through on the 2 sites I normally use. Trying to make me do some run around process with a 3rd party that costs like 20% of my deposit.
  • killer_ewok
    Cleveland Buck;1113773 wrote:1. Kentucky 19.5% 1 in 5
    2. Ohio State 18.7% 1 in 5
    3. Michigan State 12.2% 1 in 8
    4. North Carolina 9.3% 1 in 11
    5. Kansas 8.6% 1 in 12
    6. Missouri 5.2% 1 in 19
    7. Syracuse 4.3% 1 in 23
    8. Wisconsin 4.0% 1 in 25
    9. Wichita State 2.5% 1 in 40
    10. Indiana 1.7% 1 in 60

    Syracuse's chances just got a lot worse.
  • bases_loaded
    khujo;1114852 wrote:Did you put these in online? If so what site and how are you depositing?

    I've been having a hell of a time trying to get deposits to go through on the 2 sites I normally use. Trying to make me do some run around process with a 3rd party that costs like 20% of my deposit.
    betus.com pm me your email and ill get you a deposit bonus
  • Laley23
    Im thinking about putting some serious money on Detroit vs Kansas. Detroit is +14.5 and it has already falled from +15.5. Wanna get it in before its down to like +12!
  • Wooball
    Syracuse at just -15 for their opener against UNC Ashville? I know Melo is out, but shouldn't they still roll in this first game?
  • bases_loaded
    Went 5-1-1 yesterday....not really sure where to go today though.
  • Laley23
    Ended up taking Detroit +13.5
  • Azubuike24
    Liking the underdogs tomorrow...a lot.

    K-State +5
    Gonzaga +8
    Murray State +6
    VCU +6
    New Mexico +1
  • Mulva
    I'm not really confident about any of the spreads tomorrow. I'd lean towards VCU at +6, but nowhere near confident enough to place a bet on it. I like the under 140 for UK - ISU a little bit too.
  • Big Gain
    ytownfootball;1113797 wrote:Yeah saw that UK is at 5-2 and Ohio State is at 6-1. The Vegas love for Ohio State really surprised me.

    http://content.usatoday.com/communities/campusrivalry/post/2012/03/kentucky-ncaa-title-jeff-sagarin-simulation/1#.T15UDnmwctB
    Sagarin's computer analysis after 64,000,000 permutations turns out to mirror the Vegas line. Kentucky 5-1 Ohio State 6-1.
  • DeyDurkie5
    I took michigan state to win the whole thing at 60-1 a couple months back. I'm loving it.
  • Iliketurtles
    I had a huge weekend I'm up about 200 already lol.

    I put 30 on KSU over cuse straight up and 50 on Murray State straight up. Then I put 10 bucks on a lot of the overs for todays games(anyone else feel like the O/U are low for todays games). I also put 20 on Murray State at +6 and 20 on KSU +5. Hoping for another huge day today haha.

    Durkie that would be fucking sweet if you won how much did you put on it?
  • ts1227
    USF opens as a 4 point favorite on Ohio
    Under 114, no fucking way.
  • Iliketurtles
    ts1227;1119365 wrote:USF opens as a 4 point favorite on Ohio
    Under 114, no fucking way.
    LOL I just put 50 on the over. I put 25 on Ohio straight up and 25 on them at +4.