NCAA Predicting Mom from Mike and Mike

• Ironman92

  

  Anyone hear this lady and her predictions on March 16th? She had Butler defeating ND to make it to the finals and on the other side had UConn overf Syracuse. I forget who she had winning but the score was 53-39 in the final game...off the charts...but one of the director's mom.
• wildcats20

  

  She had UConn
• Ironman92

  

  whatever......she's going to be powerball hitting close
• Ironman92

  

  46-35 with 3:17 left........both are going to go over the 53-39 prediction....but man alive, best prediction ever
• wildcats20

  

  Well UConn will...
  
  Not sure about Butler lol
• Tiger2003

  

  Missed it by 2 points.
• Ironman92

  

  53-41.....unfreaking believable
  
  Will she be all over the talk shows and sports shows?
• Ironman92

  

  She is my hero!
• wildcats20

  

  I think they said that if she got the score right(or maybe just the total of 92) that they would have her drunk ass on the show.
  
  I say they do it anyway.
• Ironman92

  

  If she joins this site she will blow up vbookie.
• SportsAndLady

  

  Ironman92;732990 wrote:53-41.....unfreaking believable
  
  Will she be all over the talk shows and sports shows?

  
  Yes she will, they aren't gonna talk about this game lol
• Iliketurtles

  

  Haha I remember when they had her on to talk it about it. This is Lehman's(sp) mom and she is in England. I wish I didn't have to work and could have watched the show today Im sure they will have her on and be talking about it haha.
• karen lotz

  

  Its Liam's (producer on show) mum, she moved to the US in the early 90s but has no clue on sports. They have her on pretty regularly to predict games because she is apparently always drunk and is funny.
• BigAppleBuckeye

  

  She now has her own Twitter page haha: http://twitter.com/LiamsMumESPN
• karen lotz

  

  Was just going to post that. I think it will be Liam tweeting stuff she says.
• vball10set

  from the show this morning
  
  

  ESPNRadio.com
  Mike & Mike producer Liam poses with his mum.In Monday night's NCAA tournament final there were many statistical quirks during the game. Butler making just three 2-point field goals, Connecticut blocking ten shots and the teams combining to score 94 points, just to name a few. However, the biggest statistical oddity last night came as a result of the game.
  
  
  
  Mike & Mike producer Liam Chapman's "mum" not only had Connecticut and Butler in the final game of her bracket, but also came within two points of correctly predicting the final score. She picked UConn to defeat Butler 53-39 ... before the tournament began!
  
  
  
  For now let's forget about the fact that Liam's mum lives in England and surely had very little idea this tournament even takes place and try to quantify this amazing feat.
  
  The first thing she did right is correctly predict UConn and Butler to make the final game. Using (Ken Pomeroy's) offensive numbers, defensive numbers and the difficulty of each team's path before the tournament started we find that UConn and Butler's chances of making the title game was 2.30% and 0.19%, respectively. This means the probability of picking both teams to make the championship game is (2.30% * 0.19%) roughly 1 in 25,000.
  
  
  
  Obviously, this is an incredible achievement on its own, but Liam's mum went a step further and nearly guessed the final score as well. Using AccuScore simulations of this matchup, the probability that UConn would score between 51-55 points was 8.8%. The probability Butler would score between 39-43 points was only 4%. The chance of both things happening in the same game was 0.39%.
  
  
  
  Putting all of these numbers together, the chance of anyone four weeks ago predicting UConn to make the championship game and Butler to make the championship game and UConn to score between 51-55 points in the championship game and Butler to score between 39-43 points in the championship game is 0.000000174, or nearly 1 in 10 million!
  
  
  
  On this day, Liam's mum is that one in 10 million.
  
  
  
  Albert Larcada is an analytics specialist in ESPN's Stats and Information group. He does advanced statistical research with the intention of better modeling and forecasting sporting events and leagues.

• mallymal614

  Women typically always win bracket challenges every year. They pick the teams with the best colors, cutest mascots, or what school their bff attend. And it be working lol.
• jhay78

  

  That woman is hilarious. I usually catch her predictions every year, and just listening to her talk to her son Liam is priceless. That's an amazing prediction.
• jordo212000

  

  mallymal614;733343 wrote:Women typically always win bracket challenges every year. They pick the teams with the best colors, cutest mascots, or what school their bff attend. And it be working lol.

  the only woman who played along with our bracket challenge ended up winning here at work. There were like 10 of us in total