OK, it all comes down to tonight ... what are my chances?

• BigAppleBuckeye

  

  I was feeling good about FINALLY winning my fantasy Super Bowl until Colston shit the bed last night.
  
  My league has a unique scoring system, I am down 30 points, I have Adrian Peterson and the Philly D going tonight, my opponent has LeSean McCoy. What are my chances? Here is the scoring system:
  
  RBs get 1 pt per 5 yards rushing or receiving, 1 pt per reception, 8 pts for TDs < 5 yards, 12 pts for TDs of 5 or more yards
  
  Defense/STs get 12 pts per TD, 4 points per turnover, 2 pts per sack, and additional points for keeping opponent's under 20 points or under 300 yards.
  
  In our league ... AP is averaging 34.3 per week, the Eagles average 20.6. McCoy averages 34.4.
  
  I give myself a 33% chance, give or take ... thoughts? If my two guys do their average, then McCoy would have to score 27 or less for me to win. That would be like 80 yards rushing, 4 receptions, 35 receiving yards, 0 TDs.
• lhslep134

  

  Damn man it's not looking good BUT you can always hope for an injury (if that's your MO)
  
  Hopefully you'll pull it out and the hudd, I mean chatter can produce multiple champions this year.
• BigAppleBuckeye

  

  Thanks man ... KICKING myself for not starting Woodhead, I really wanted to, just didn't have the balls. If I started him, I would be up 10 right now, with my Eagles vs. his McCoy.
• lhslep134

  

  What was the final?
• BigAppleBuckeye

  

  I lost 225-213 ... was tied at one point in the 4th quarter in what my league members are dubbing the best title game ever (been in this keeper league for 10 years, league has existed for 13 years). The AP touchdown was both good and bad, as my defense lost points on the play. All in all, the turning point was Colston puking up 6 points on Monday night (he averages close to 30 in our league). Even if he went like 5 catches for 60 yards and 0 Tds, I would have won.