MLB Reds @ Mets.....Game 3 (July 7th)

• Ironman92

  

  Jonathan Niese (L) going for the Mets 6-2 3.62
  
  Bronson Arroyo (R) for the Reds 8-4 4.25
  
  Stats show the reds have hit Niese very well in limited at bats and the Mets have hit a combined .185 off of Bronson
• jtownclassics

  What's considered compliments?
• Laley23

  

  Just a question....but who in their right mind is gonna take the Reds -4.5 with those shitty odds?
• Ironman92

  

  sherm might.......he's made about 2/3 of a million dollars guessing correctly on the Reds games.....and to be honest.......I'm strongly considering it
  
  a compliment is a compliment......IF he says Adam Dunn was a very good HR hitter for the Reds......CHECK.......any positive comments about Dunn will be counted
• ts1227

  

  Vegas has the Mets as the favorites, might be some money on that bet.
• Ironman92

  

  see....how can they be the favorites...based on what...Vegas has it rigged?
  
  The Red are hitting .385 off of Niese.....The Mets are hitting .180 off of Arroyo
• ts1227

  

  Ironman92;413580 wrote:see....how can they be the favorites...based on what...Vegas has it rigged?
  
  The Red are hitting .385 off of Niese.....The Mets are hitting .180 off of Arroyo

  
  It's slight favorites, Mets going off at 4/5, and Reds at 11/10 straight up
• Ironman92

  

  still
  
  
  homefield I get.....but .200 difference in averages is significant
• dave

  you really got to stop making these dumb odds.
• Laley23

  

  Ironman92;413580 wrote:see....how can they be the favorites...based on what...Vegas has it rigged?
  
  The Red are hitting .385 off of Niese.....The Mets are hitting .180 off of Arroyo

  
  Ive learned long ago....dont question Vegas and dont try to outsmart Vegas. They are ungodly when it comes to their odds. Over/Under, Lines, props. They are on the money with their shit way too often for me to try to make money lol.
  
  Ive made a bunch of money off of College Basketball, but even so, Vegas is rarely off by more than 1 point or two on over unders and spreads. Its remarkable really.
• Ironman92

  

  not the best way to go about it dave
• dave

  Dude, I asked you the other day where you come up with the odds and you ignored it. It's quite obvious you are just picking these out of the blue based on what you think will happen. I don't think you understand exactly what you are doing. You have the Mets, who are favored, at 2.5 to 1. That should be less than 1 to 1. You also have the underdog Reds giving up 4.5 runs. 4.5 runs is ridiculous, this isn't the nfl, where even 4.5 points would be a huge spread for 2 equal teams. Even with the underdog giving 4.5 runs you only have them at 1.5 to 1, which is less than what you have the Mets at. It just doesn't make any sense at all. Yesterday you had the Reds giving run to Santana, again it makes no sense.
  
  I realize this is just for fun, and it shouldn't be set to vegas odds, but it at least should be similar. If anything, you should have the Reds getting runs or at -4.5 be huge odds to win that bet. I assume you haven't done any real betting, but just browse some sites and read some articles so you can understand how odds are set a little better. Then you won't have a game like yesterday where you had 400,000 vcash bet against 2000 vcash. It should be close to even on both teams.
• Ironman92

  

  Much of the money has been won when I did this with the Reds -1.5 and such......I simply think the Reds will win this game significantly...I've stated my reasons.
  
  I do not know of the asking me about the odds.....I've not purposely avoided anyone. I'm trying to keep this fun.....I've had 3 negative comments these past 3 weeks...I did not believe it was that big of a deal.
  
  Tell me what odds you would give on the Reds tonight at -4.5? You mention how so much was paid out but look at my other threads where it is the other way around...barring the huge numbers by zombie, darkon and sherm
  
  I'm wrong all the time and my opinion is just that...if people want me to look at every odds before doing these then I will......I still don't appreciate how it is being addressed.
  
  My threads are getting the views and bets just like the others...ts1227 has more exact odds and sticks close to Vegas.
  
  What about the props? Are they just a distraction or are they ok?
• Ironman92

  

  If the Reds don't win by 5 tonight I'll just do the exact vegas odds from now on if that's what some want.
  
  no biggee
• Ironman92

  

  I got 30 for the Wright error....that was all on this game
• mhs95_06

  I was only a Met HR and Phillips double going ground rule away from collecting on Bronson outscoring the Mets!