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Electoral College Predictions

  • jedbartlet02
    With 2016 campaign in its final stretch......what are everyone's thoughts on how the Electoral College will end up?

    Here's how I see it shaking down:

    Clinton/Kaine:
    Massachusetts (11)
    California (55)
    Hawaii (4)
    Vermont (3)
    Maryland (10)
    District Of Columbia (3)
    New York (29)
    New Hampshire (4)
    Wisconsin (10)
    Colorado (9)
    Oregon (7)
    Michigan (16)
    Pennsylvania (20)
    Virginia (13)
    New Mexico (5)
    New Jersey (14)
    Connecticut (7)
    Illinois (20)
    Washington (12)
    Rhode Island (4)
    Delaware (3)
    Maine CD1 (1)
    Florida (29)
    North Carolina (15)
    Nevada (6)
    Minnesota (10)
    Maine (2)
    Arizona (11)
    Trump/Pence:
    Alabama (9)
    Kentucky (8)
    Nebraska (4)
    Oklahoma (7)
    Wyoming (3)
    Arkansas (6)
    Idaho (4)
    North Dakota (3)
    West Virginia (5)
    Louisiana (8)
    Mississippi (6)
    Montana (3)
    South Dakota (3)
    Tennessee (11)
    Alaska (3)
    Kansas (6)
    Nebraska CD2 (1)
    Georgia (16)
    Texas(38)-Just Barely though
    Missouri (10)
    Maine CD2 (1)
    South Carolina (9)
    Ohio (18)
    Indiana (11)
    Iowa (6)
    Utah(6)

    Final Total:

    Clinton/Kaine- 333 Electoral Votes

    Trump/Pence- 205 Electoral Votes


    I feel pretty confident in this projection....but if things continue to slide for Trump....I wouldn't be shocked to see Texas go to Hillary Clinton
  • sleeper
    I'll be beyond shocked if Trump breaks 200 electoral votes.
  • jedbartlet02
    sleeper;1817335 wrote:I'll be beyond shocked if Trump breaks 200 electoral votes.

    I debated on giving Clinton Texas and Ohio....but I still think Dems are 4 years away from winning Texas and IMO Ohio is state Trump should be winning by 6-7 points because of demographics
  • sleeper
    jedbartlet02;1817339 wrote:I debated on giving Clinton Texas and Ohio....but I still think Dems are 4 years away from winning Texas and IMO Ohio is state Trump should be winning by 6-7 points because of demographics
    Trump won't win Ohio. He'll get Texas because it's Texas but I don't see Trump winning any swing states.

    The issue is, Trump has no ground game to get out of the vote. He has to compete with Democrats who will dump bus after bus like you wouldn't believe and the polls will be a disaster for Trump. Believe me.
  • sleeper
    If Trump had half a brain, he'd concede right now. November 8th is going to be a waste of time.

    I am ready for our First Female President.
  • Automatik
    I'm going with whatever Nate Silver says.
  • BoatShoes
    jedbartlet02;1817339 wrote:I debated on giving Clinton Texas and Ohio....but I still think Dems are 4 years away from winning Texas and IMO Ohio is state Trump should be winning by 6-7 points because of demographics
    I think Hillary will win Ohio now. Thing is though, Ted Strickland has been a complete failure and Portman's campaign has been dominant and it could make up for some of Trump's fail.